Bendigo Spirit vs Perth Lynx – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
75:81
17/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7970
Field goals made
2632
Field goals %
32.91%45.71%
2-point field goals attempts
4551
2-point field goals made
1726
2-point field goals %
37.78%50.98%
3-point field goals attempts
3419
3-point field goals made
96
3-point field goals %
26.47%31.58%
Free throws attempts
2115
Free throws made
1411
Free throws %
66.7%73.3%
Offensive rebounds
1811
Defensive rebounds
2939
Total rebounds
4750
Assists
1917
Blocks
69
Turnovers
38
Steals
21
Personal fouls
1817

Chances of winning


Bendigo Spirit
31.2%
Perth Lynx
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 57.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bendigo Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • Perth Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bendigo Spirit than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bendigo Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perth Lynx than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perth Lynx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.56)

    1.35
    (1.44)
    7.8%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Bendigo will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Perth will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bendigo (votes: 1 - 50%). Perth (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:84.
  • Preview Facts
    • Perth Lynx leads series 1-0. Second leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 1.
    • Bendigo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Perth is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Bendigo has had a series of away games.
    • Perth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Perth will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bendigo won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1185:1219. (average 74.1:76.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bendigo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 561:554. (average 70.1:69.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Perth Lynx - Bendigo Spirit 86:76
    01.02.2026 Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx 64:88
    15.01.2026 Perth Lynx - Bendigo Spirit 85:81
    22.11.2025 Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx 87:58
    16.11.2025 Perth Lynx - Bendigo Spirit 79:64
    Latest results of Bendigo Spirit
    Latest results of Perth Lynx
    14.02.2026 Perth Lynx - Bendigo Spirit 86:76
    07.02.2026 Perth Lynx - Sydney Flames 108:93
    01.02.2026 Bendigo Spirit - Perth Lynx 64:88
    27.01.2026 Southside Flyers - Perth Lynx 79:111
    24.01.2026 Sydney Flames - Perth Lynx 57:76
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)1 : 0