Ascoli vs Benevento – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Ascoli - Benevento
Result
0:0
26/02/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ascoli
37.5%
Draw
32.1%
Benevento
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.5% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.
  • Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Ascoli - Benevento Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.19)
    2.93
    (3.18)
    3.11
    (3.38)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Ascoli - Benevento?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Benevento will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4%82.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
    • Ascoli has the most likely position - 13 (10.16%), has project points - 49, has currently - 32, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Benevento has the most likely position - 17 (15.79%), has project points - 43, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 31, importance 43, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.
    • Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Benevento is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Benevento were as follows:
    02.10.2022 Benevento - Ascoli 1:1
    Latest results of Ascoli
    18.02.2023 Parma - Ascoli 0:1
    11.02.2023 Ascoli - Perugia 1:0
    04.02.2023 Cittadella - Ascoli 3:0
    29.01.2023 Ascoli - Palermo 1:2
    21.01.2023 SPAL - Ascoli 1:1
    Latest results of Benevento
    18.02.2023 Benevento - Brescia 1:0
    11.02.2023 Cagliari - Benevento 1:0
    04.02.2023 Benevento - Venezia 1:2
    29.01.2023 Frosinone - Benevento 1:0
    21.01.2023 Benevento - Genoa 1:2
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2