Result
0:0
26/02/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 26
- Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)
Chances of winning
Ascoli
37.5% | Draw
32.1% | Benevento
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ascoli's form might have worsened.Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ascoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Ascoli - Benevento Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.19) |
2.93 ↓
(3.18) |
3.11 ↓
(3.38) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Benevento?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Benevento will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.4% – 82.2%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).
- Ascoli has the most likely position - 13 (10.16%), has project points - 49, has currently - 32, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Benevento has the most likely position - 17 (15.79%), has project points - 43, has currently - 26, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 31, importance 43, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1.
- Recent matches Ascoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Benevento is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-21.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Benevento?
Ascoli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benevento won against Ascoli?
Benevento has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Benevento were as follows:
02.10.2022
Benevento
-
Ascoli
1:1
Latest results of Benevento
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 68:29 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 65:33 | 32 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 53:27 | 26 | 69 |
| 4 | Palermo | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 65 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:42 | 11 | 55 |
| 6 | Modena | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 46:31 | 15 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 41:41 | 0 | 48 |
| 8 | Cesena | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42:50 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 36:37 | -1 | 40 |
| 11 | Mantova | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 34:44 | -10 | 40 |
| 13 | Avellino | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 38:54 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 |
| 15 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 43:49 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Entella | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 17 | Bari | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 33:53 | -20 | 34 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:52 | -19 | 33 |
| 19 | Pescara | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 47:61 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Spezia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 32:51 | -19 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
