Benevento vs Catania – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
48
Shots on target
35
Corner kicks
25
Yellow cards
24
Total shots
48
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
13
Corner kicks
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Lunetta G. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, Lamesta D. ,
  • 33', Della Morte M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Di Noia G. 🟨,
  • 57', Casasola T. 🟨,
  • 58', Quaini A. 🟨,
  • 62', Di Noia G. , Di Tacchio F. ,
  • 67', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
  • 68', Jimenez K. , Caturano S. ,
  • 71', Della Morte M. , Caldirola L. ,
  • 71', Pierozzi E. 🟨,
  • 79', Tumminello M. , Mignani G. ,
  • 79', Lamesta D. , Kouan C. ,
  • 81', Pieraccini S. , Bruzzaniti G. ,
  • 85', 2 - 1, Mignani G. ,
  • 90', Ceresoli A. , Borghini D. ,
  • 90', Prisco A. , Talia A. ,

Chances of winning


Benevento
43.8%
Draw
32.2%
Catania
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.8% 29.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 27.8% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benevento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benevento than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catania could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benevento - Catania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.31)
    2.86
    (3.13)
    3.84
    (2.98)
    8.6%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Benevento - Catania?
  • Users Predictions: Benevento will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 1.
    • Benevento has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Catania is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Benevento will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Benevento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benevento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benevento - Catania were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Catania - Benevento 1:0
    05.01.2025 Benevento - Catania 3:2
    02.09.2024 Catania - Benevento 1:0
    27.04.2024 Catania - Benevento 1:0
    23.12.2023 Benevento - Catania 0:4
    Latest results of Benevento
    01.03.2026 Potenza - Benevento 0:1
    22.02.2026 Altamura - Benevento 1:2
    14.02.2026 Benevento - Latina 1:1
    10.02.2026 Trapani - Benevento 0:5
    06.02.2026 Benevento - Picerno 1:0
    Latest results of Catania
    01.03.2026 Salernitana - Catania 0:0
    22.02.2026 Catania - Giugliano 1:0
    18.02.2026 Catania - Trapani 4:0
    14.02.2026 Siracusa - Catania 1:1
    10.02.2026 Catania - Audace Cerignola 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento ✔ 36255671:254680
    2Catania361911652:232968
    3Casertana36198954:411365
    4Salernitana36189945:40563
    5Cosenza36189956:391763
    6Crotone361771255:342158
    7Casarano ✔ 361581351:55-453
    8Monopoli ✔ 3614101236:39-352
    9Audace Cerignola ✔ 3614101247:51-452
    10Potenza3612111351:53-247
    11Altamura3611111431:44-1344
    12Atalanta U233611101551:48343
    13Cavese369131434:40-640
    14Picerno369121542:53-1139
    15Sorrento369101738:54-1637
    16Latina368121628:42-1436
    17Giugliano36981933:50-1735
    18Foggia36692127:56-2927
    19Siracusa36981945:54-924
    20Trapani361391445:51-623

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B
    Casarano is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
    Monopoli is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)
    Audace Cerignola is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)