Benfica vs Bayer Leverkusen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
0:1
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
iranIran4 Sport TV
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
kosovoKosovoART Sport 6
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 4, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.75
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
60
Passes
89% (477/535)88% (426/483)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.430.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.630.37
Total shots
217
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
125
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
60
Touches in opposition box
4614
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
97
Passes
89% (477/535)88% (426/483)
Long passes
65% (30/46)53% (19/36)
Passes in final third
80% (132/166)70% (47/67)
Crosses
29% (7/24)33% (1/3)
Expected assists (xA)
1.970.81
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
79
Tackles
76% (13/17)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
832
Interceptions
156
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.370.63
Goals prevented
-0.630.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Maza I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
  • 57', Kofane C. M. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
  • 57', Echeverri C. ↓, Tillman M. ↑,
  • 62', Lukebakio D. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Schick P. ⚽,
  • 69', Dahl S. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
  • 69', Sudakov G. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
  • 69', Barreiro L. ↓, Dedic A. ↑,
  • 78', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 79', Tillman M. 🟨,
  • 88', Poku E. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
  • 90+1', Rios R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
48.9%		Draw
25.6%		Bayer Leverkusen
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 26.1% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 27.9% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
    •

    Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2 ↓
    (2.09)    		 3.82 ↑
    (3.64)    		 3.75 ↑
    (3.35)    		 3%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DC - Bayer (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Benfica will win (75 of 87 users predict this - 86.21%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.96% – 93.46%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 46 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 39 - 84.8%). Bayer (votes: 2 - 4.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Benfica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Bayer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Benfica could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Santos L. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayer: Andrich R. (Red Card) Fernandez E. (Knee Injury) Hofmann J. (Inactive) Lucas (Muscle Injury) Palacios E. (Groin Injury) Sarco A. (Inactive) Tape A. (Hamstring Injury) Tella N. (Knee Injury) Terrier M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Bayer: Tillman M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Benfica
    01.11.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Benfica 0:3 ✺
    29.10.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0
    25.10.2025 Benfica - Arouca 5:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Newcastle United - Benfica 3:0 ✺
    17.10.2025 Chaves - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Paderborn - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4 ✺
    26.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Freiburg 2:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Paris Saint-Germain 2:7 ✺
    18.10.2025 Mainz - Bayer Leverkusen 3:4 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye
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