Benfica vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Benfica - Bologna
Result
0:0
11/12/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Petrescu R. M. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 5, Pickx+ Sports 5, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Moja TV
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 6
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 4
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
turkeyTurkeyTRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports 7
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app, SportsMax App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.140.24
Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
146
Shots on Goal
51
Shots off Goal
22
Blocked Shots
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
104
Shots inside the Box
123
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
1314
Offsides
12
Fouls
1413
Yellow Cards
56
Throw-ins
3915
Touches in the Opposition Box
3620
Passes
81% (326/404)82% (351/430)
Passes in the final third
66% (75/114)76% (70/92)
Crosses
9% (2/23)13% (2/16)
Tackles
47% (7/15)48% (11/23)
Clearances Total
1635
Interceptions
1410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Florentino 🟨,
  • 53', Fabbian G. 🟨,
  • 59', Bah A. 🟨,
  • 62', Casale N. 🟨,
  • 63', Kokcu O. 🟨,
  • 71', Ferguson L. 🟨,
  • 72', Pavlidis V. , Amdouni Z. ,
  • 72', Akturkoglu K. , Beste J. ,
  • 73', Fabbian G. , Pobega T. ,
  • 73', Casale N. , Lucumi J. ,
  • 73', Moro N. , Freuler R. ,
  • 73', Urbanski K. , Ndoye D. ,
  • 76', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 77', Italiano V. 🟨,
  • 80', Kokcu O. , Cabral A. ,
  • 88', Posch S. , Corazza T. ,
  • 89', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Holm E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
65.8%
Draw
21.2%
Bologna
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 22.8% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 21.9% 16.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Benfica - Bologna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.6)
    4.52
    (4.21)
    7.55
    (5.63)
    3.5%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Benfica - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 108 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 93 - 86.1%). Bologna will win (votes: 6 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 79.6%92.6%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Benfica in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Bologna is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Benfica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Benfica is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Gouveia T. (Shoulder Injury) Sanches R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Muscle Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Knee Injury) Orsolini R. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bologna: Lykogiannis C. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Benfica to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Benfica
    01.12.2024 Arouca - Benfica 0:2
    27.11.2024 Monaco - Benfica 2:3
    10.11.2024 Benfica - Porto 4:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    07.12.2024 Juventus - Bologna 2:2
    03.12.2024 Bologna - Monza 4:0
    30.11.2024 Bologna - Venezia 3:0
    27.11.2024 Bologna - Lille 1:2
    24.11.2024 Lazio - Bologna 3:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros
    2ShkendijaQarabag0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce
    12NiceBenfica
    13RangersPlzen3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14