Benfica vs HBC Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
34:38
28/11/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceEurosport 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport

Chances of winning


Benfica
21.9%
Draw
8.6%
HBC Nantes
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 10.9% 57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 10.9% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.
  • HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HBC Nantes's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HBC Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Benfica - HBC Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.17
    (2.95)
    10.88
    (8.5)
    1.32
    (1.6)
    9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 64.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Benfica is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nantes is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Nantes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nantes is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Nantes to win the game is with odds 1.34.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 150-172.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 89-102.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - HBC Nantes were as follows:
    17.10.2023 HBC Nantes - Benfica 37:28
    Latest results of Benfica
    25.11.2023 Belenenses - Benfica 25:31
    21.11.2023 Rhein-Neckar Löwen - Benfica 39:30
    18.11.2023 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 29:36
    14.11.2023 Benfica - Rhein-Neckar Löwen 35:36
    09.11.2023 Benfica - Madeira 44:28
    Latest results of HBC Nantes
    24.11.2023 HBC Nantes - Saran Loiret 38:24
    21.11.2023 HBC Nantes - Kristianstad 31:27
    18.11.2023 USAM Nimes - HBC Nantes 21:26
    14.11.2023 Kristianstad - HBC Nantes 27:31
    10.11.2023 HBC Nantes - Chartres 33:25
    EHF European League Table
    Main

    Group 1
    PlWDLPts
    1Kiel4400126:1088
    2Flensburg-H4301141:1346
    3Montpellier4103119:1302
    4CD Bidasoa Irun4004132:1460


    Group 2
    PlWDLPts
    1Skanderborg AGF4301124:1086
    2Elverum4202118:1184
    3Porto4202115:1164
    4Granollers4103110:1252


    Group 3
    PlWDLPts
    1MT Melsungen4301124:1186
    2Vardar 19614202138:1354
    3Benfica4202130:1274
    4Kristianstad4103125:1372


    Group 4
    PlWDLPts
    1Hannover-Burgdorf4301132:1156
    2Fredericia4202127:1274
    3Kadetten Schaffhausen4202117:1274
    4Nexe4103122:1292

          Promotion ~ European League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ European League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)