Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex Bolt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
57
Double Faults
11
1st serve percentage
72%58%
1st serve points won
76% (47/62)80% (39/49)
2nd serve points won
71% (17/24)61% (22/36)
Break Points Saved
2/33/4
1st return points won
20% (10/49)24% (15/62)
2nd return points won
39% (14/36)29% (7/24)
Break Points Converted
1/41/3
Winners
2438
Unforced errors
1634
Net points won
50% (7/14)69% (11/16)
Service Points Won
74% (64/86)72% (61/85)
Return Points Won
28% (24/85)26% (22/86)
Total Points Won
51% (88/171)49% (83/171)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
10
Service games won
93% (14/15)93% (14/15)
Return games won
7% (1/15)7% (1/15)
Total games won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Benjamin Bonzi
70.3%
Alex Bolt
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 36.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Alex Bolt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Bolt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.4)

    3.17
    (2.75)
    5.7%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Benjamin Bonzi - Alex Bolt?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bolt will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111. Bolt is ranked ATP: 167.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bolt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bonzi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Benjamin Bonzi
    Latest results of Alex Bolt
    14.02.2026 Zhizhen Zhang - Alex Bolt 2:0
    13.02.2026 Alex Bolt - Hiroki Moriya 2:1
    12.02.2026 Darwin Blanch - Alex Bolt 0:2
    10.02.2026 Omar Jasika - Alex Bolt Jasika O. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Moutet C. (1)Bye
    2Travaglia S. (Q)Halys Q.1 : 2
    3Fearnley J.Cazaux A.1 : 2
    4Basilashvili N. (Alt)Majchrzak K. (6)2 : 0
    5Borges N. (4)Bye
    6Duckworth J.Struff J-L.2 : 1
    7Hara Friend J. D. (Q)Kozlov S. (Q)2 : 1
    8Merida Aguilar D. (Alt)Giron M. (7)0 : 2
    9Atmane T. (5)Blanch Dar. (WC)0 : 2
    10Vukic A.Harris B. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Krueger M. (WC)Bicknell B. (Q)1 : 2
    12ByeMannarino A. (3)
    13Quinn E. (8)Shevchenko A.2 : 1
    14Nava E.Mmoh M. (WC)0 : 2
    15Bonzi B. (Alt)Bolt A. (Alt)2 : 1
    16ByeRiedi L. (LL)

    1/8-finals
    1Moutet C. (1)Halys Q.2 : 0
    2Cazaux A.Basilashvili N. (WO.)
    3Borges N. (4)Duckworth J.2 : 1
    4Hara Friend J. D.Giron M. (7)1 : 2
    5Blanch Dar.Harris B.1 : 2
    6Bicknell B.Mannarino A. (3)1 : 2
    7Quinn E. (8)Mmoh M.2 : 0
    8Bonzi B.Riedi L.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Moutet C. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 0
    2Borges N. (4)Giron M. (7)0 : 2
    3Harris B.Mannarino A. (3)2 : 1
    4Quinn E. (8)Bonzi B.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (1)Giron M. (7)1 : 2
    2Harris B.Quinn E. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Giron M. (7)Quinn E. (8)