Benjamin Bonzi vs Shintaro Mochizuki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
03/03/2026 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
38
1st serve percentage
67%49%
1st serve points won
72% (42/58)69% (34/49)
2nd serve points won
41% (12/29)46% (23/50)
Break Points Saved
56% (5/9)50% (6/12)
1st return points won
37% (18/49)28% (16/58)
2nd return points won
54% (27/50)59% (17/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (6/12)44% (4/9)
Winners
2234
Unforced errors
3946
Net points won
75% (9/12)74% (23/31)
Service Points Won
62% (54/87)58% (57/99)
Return Points Won
42% (42/99)38% (33/87)
Total Points Won
52% (96/186)48% (90/186)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
02
Service games won
73% (11/15)63% (10/16)
Return games won
38% (6/16)27% (4/15)
Total games won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Benjamin Bonzi
70.9%
Shintaro Mochizuki
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.
  • Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.49)

    3.24
    (2.48)
    5.9%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Benjamin Bonzi - Shintaro Mochizuki?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 12 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benjamin Bonzi will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Bonzi is ranked ATP: 111. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 130.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bonzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bonzi could have a small edge in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Benjamin Bonzi
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Kopriva V. (1)Sakamoto R.2 : 0
    2Krueger M.Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    3Buse I. (2)Draxl L.2 : 0
    4Riedi L.Hijikata R. (15)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Ahmad I. (WC)2 : 0
    6Jarry N.Maestrelli F. (13)1 : 2
    7Vukic A. (4)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    8Blanch Dar. (WC)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (5)Landaluce M.0 : 2
    10Smith C.Shimabukuro S. (22)0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A. (6)Echargui M.2 : 1
    12Tseng C. H.Goffin D. (21)2 : 0
    13van Assche L. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    14Leach J. (WC)Barrios Vera T. (14)0 : 2
    15Kypson P. (8)Merida Aguilar D.1 : 2
    16Johnson A. (WC)Sweeny D. (23)0 : 2
    17Bonzi B. (9)Pinnington Jones J.2 : 0
    18Gomez F. A.Mochizuki S. (16)1 : 2
    19O'Connell C. (10)Harris B.2 : 0
    20Mejia N.Basilashvili N. (24)1 : 2
    21Schoolkate T. (11)Bolt A.2 : 1
    22Ymer E.Wong C. (20)2 : 1
    23Nardi L. (12)Svajda T. (WC)1 : 2
    24Sachko V.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2

    Final
    1Kopriva V. (1)Svrcina D. (19)0 : 2
    2Buse I. (2)Hijikata R. (15)1 : 2
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Maestrelli F. (13)0 : 2
    4Vukic A. (4)Prizmic D. (18)0 : 2
    5Landaluce M.Shimabukuro S. (22)1 : 2
    6Burruchaga R. A. (6)Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Galarneau A.Barrios Vera T. (14)2 : 0
    8Merida Aguilar D.Sweeny D. (23)2 : 1
    9Bonzi B. (9)Mochizuki S. (16)2 : 1
    10O'Connell C. (10)Basilashvili N. (24)2 : 0
    11Schoolkate T. (11)Ymer E. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Svajda T.McDonald M. (17)0 : 2