Bernabe Zapata Miralles vs Jesper De Jong – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Estoril Challenger Men Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong
Result
2:0
01/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
czech-republicCzech-republicPremier Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Urheilu 2

Match Stats

Aces
33
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
74%56%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (33/59)68% (28/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (13/21)34% (11/32)
Break Points Saved
71% (10/14)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
32% (13/41)44% (26/59)
2nd Return Points Won
66% (21/32)38% (8/21)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)29% (4/14)
Winners
2016
Unforced Errors
3637
Net Points Won
75% (12/16)82% (9/11)
Service Points Won
58% (46/80)53% (39/73)
Return Points Won
47% (34/73)43% (34/80)
Total Points Won
52% (80/153)48% (73/153)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
64% (7/11)55% (6/11)
Return Games Won
45% (5/11)36% (4/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Bernabe Zapata Miralles
20.3%
Jesper De Jong
79.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4% 72.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bernabe Zapata Miralles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernabe Zapata Miralles's form might have worsened.
  • Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jesper De Jong's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernabe Zapata Miralles than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernabe Zapata Miralles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jesper De Jong, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.5
    (3.2)

    1.19
    (1.3)
    6%
    (8.2%)
    What is the prediction for Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Jesper De Jong?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Zapata Miralles will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). De Jong will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Zapata Miralles is ranked ATP: 380. De Jong is ranked ATP: 93.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Zapata Miralles could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match, De Jong is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Jesper De Jong
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Bye
    2Lajovic D. (Alt)Pellegrino A. (Q)1 : 2
    3Tien L.Elias G. (WC)1 : 2
    4Rocha H. (WC)Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    5Giron M. (4)Bye
    6Vukic A.Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt)2 : 1
    7Faria J.Zapata Miralles B. (LL)0 : 2
    8De Jong J.Fonseca J. (8)2 : 0
    9Kecmanovic M. (5)Struff J-L.2 : 0
    10Coppejans K. (Alt)Yevseyev D. (LL)0 : 2
    11Zeppieri G. (Q)Fucsovics M.1 : 2
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Martinez P. (6)Vatutin A. (Q)0 : 2
    14Nardi L.Kovacevic A.2 : 0
    15Hanfmann Y. (Alt)Fonio G. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeMichelsen A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Elias G.Jarry N. (7)1 : 2
    3Giron M. (4)Vukic A.0 : 2
    4Zapata Miralles B.De Jong J.2 : 0
    5Kecmanovic M. (5)Yevseyev D.2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Borges N. (3)1 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Nardi L.0 : 2
    8Fonio G.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Jarry N. (7)2 : 1
    2Vukic A.Zapata Miralles B.2 : 0
    3Kecmanovic M. (5)Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    4Nardi L.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A.Vukic A.2 : 0
    2Kecmanovic M. (5)Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Michelsen A. (2)0 : 2