Bernard Tomic vs Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Morelos Challenger Men Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
Result
2:1
01/04/2025 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
71
Double Faults
05
1st Serve Percentage
54%60%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (37/48)64% (30/47)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (19/41)52% (16/31)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)58% (7/12)
1st Return Points Won
40% (19/47)23% (11/48)
2nd Return Points Won
48% (15/31)54% (22/41)
Break Points Converted
42% (5/12)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
63% (56/89)58% (45/77)
Return Points Won
42% (32/77)37% (33/89)
Total Points Won
53% (88/166)47% (78/166)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
79% (11/14)64% (9/14)
Return Games Won
36% (5/14)21% (3/14)
Total Games Won
57% (16/28)43% (12/28)

Chances of winning


Bernard Tomic
72.1%
Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Bernard Tomic - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.32)

    3.38
    (3.1)
    7.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tomic is ranked ATP: 214. Aguilar is ranked ATP: 482.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Aguilar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Tomic is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Tirante T. A. (1)Kozlov S. (Alt)1 : 2
    2Cid Subervi R. (WC)Jodar R.1 : 2
    3Pacheco Mendez R.Alves M.2 : 0
    4Lajal M.Mejia N. (6)2 : 0
    5Huesler M. (4)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    6Dougaz A.Neuchrist M. (PR)1 : 2
    7Nanda G. (Q)Mayo A.1 : 2
    8Ejupovic E. (Q)Grenier H.2 : 1
    9Meligeni Alves F. (5)Popko D. (SE)0 : 2
    10Wiskandt M. (Q)Cressy M.2 : 0
    11Alujas R. (WC)Napolitano S.2 : 1
    12Hernandez A. (WC)Ficovich J. P. (3)0 : 2
    13Rodionov J. (7)Paris T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Cassone M.Catry R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Tomic B.Aguilar J. C. M. (Q)2 : 1
    16Zhukayev B.Galarneau A. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kozlov S.Jodar R.1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R.Lajal M.2 : 1
    3Huesler M. (4)Neuchrist M.2 : 0
    4Mayo A.Ejupovic E.2 : 0
    5Popko D.Wiskandt M.2 : 1
    6Alujas R.Ficovich J. P. (3)0 : 2
    7Rodionov J. (RET.) (7)Catry R.1 : 1
    8Tomic B.Galarneau A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jodar R.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    2Huesler M. (4)Mayo A.2 : 1
    3Popko D.Ficovich J. P. (3)2 : 0
    4Catry R.Galarneau A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jodar R.Huesler M. (4)1 : 2
    2Popko D.Galarneau A. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Huesler M. (4)Popko D.2 : 1