Bernard Tomic vs Mackenzie McDonald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Jingshan Challenger Men Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald
Result
0:2
26/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
810
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
65%60%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (38/53)74% (37/50)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (14/28)61% (20/33)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
26% (13/50)28% (15/53)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (13/33)50% (14/28)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)40% (2/5)
Service Points Won
65% (51/79)68% (56/82)
Return Points Won
32% (26/82)35% (28/79)
Total Points Won
48% (77/161)52% (84/161)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
83% (10/12)92% (11/12)
Return Games Won
8% (1/12)17% (2/12)
Total Games Won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Bernard Tomic
36.6%
Mackenzie McDonald
63.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.25)

    1.47
    (1.57)
    7%
    (8.4%)
    What is the prediction for Bernard Tomic - Mackenzie McDonald?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. McDonald (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomic is ranked ATP: 169. McDonald is ranked ATP: 96.
    • In recent matches, Tomic has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • McDonald is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tomic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • McDonald might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that McDonald will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Yevseyev D. (LL)Gojo B. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Smith C.Soriano Barrera A. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Tseng C. H.Wu Tung-Lin (Q)2 : 0
    4Hanfmann Y.Boyer T. (7)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (3)Shin S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Spizzirri E.Zhukayev B.2 : 0
    7Sharipov M. (Q)Eubanks C.0 : 2
    8Harris L. (Q)Holt B. (6)2 : 0
    9Draxl L. (8)Skatov T.2 : 1
    10Bar Biryukov P. (Q)Harris B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O. (Alt)Cui J. (WC)2 : 1
    12Bolt A. (Q)Duckworth J. (4)2 : 1
    13Basilashvili N. (5)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    14Tomic B.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    15Hsu Y. H.Onclin G. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Te R. (WC)McDonald M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Yevseyev D.Smith C.2 : 1
    2Tseng C. H.Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    3Svrcina D. (3)Spizzirri E.1 : 2
    4Eubanks C.Harris L.0 : 2
    5Draxl L. (8)Harris B.0 : 2
    6Jasika O.Bolt A.1 : 2
    7Basilashvili N. (5)Tomic B.0 : 2
    8Onclin G.McDonald M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Yevseyev D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    2Spizzirri E.Harris L. (RET.)1 : 0
    3Harris B.Bolt A.1 : 2
    4Tomic B.McDonald M. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Hanfmann Y.Spizzirri E.1 : 2
    2Bolt A.McDonald M. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Spizzirri E.Bolt A.2 : 0