Bernard Tomic vs Nicolas Mejia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Tomic B. retired
21/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
00
1st serve percentage
77%73%
1st serve points won
57% (13/23)86% (19/22)
2nd serve points won
0% (0/7)63% (5/8)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)0% (0/0)
1st return points won
18% (4/22)43% (10/23)
2nd return points won
38% (3/8)100% (7/7)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/0)100% (3/3)
Winners
611
Unforced errors
177
Net points won
33% (1/3)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
50% (13/26)80% (24/30)
Return Points Won
20% (6/30)50% (13/26)
Total Points Won
34% (19/56)66% (37/56)
Last 10 balls
28
Match points saved
00
Service games won
50% (3/6)100% (6/6)
Return games won
0% (0/6)50% (3/6)
Total games won
25% (3/12)75% (9/12)

Chances of winning


Bernard Tomic
55.6%
Nicolas Mejia
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.2% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.
  • Nicolas Mejia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Mejia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Mejia than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Mejia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.46)

    2.1
    (2.62)
    7.3%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia?
  • Users Predictions: Nicolas Mejia will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nicolas Mejia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomic is ranked ATP: 187. Mejia is ranked ATP: 179.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tomic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic 1:2
    30.07.2025 Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia 2:0
    18.02.2025 Nicolas Mejia - Bernard Tomic 0:2
    02.07.2024 Bernard Tomic - Nicolas Mejia 2:1
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    Latest results of Nicolas Mejia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Moutet C.2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T.Kecmanovic M.0 : 2
    3Atmane T.Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    4Jodar R. (WC)Norrie C. (7)2 : 0
    5Ruud C. (3)Wu Y. (Q)
    6Mannarino A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)
    7Duckworth J.Svrcina D.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R. (WC)Cobolli F. (5)0 : 2
    9Tiafoe F. (8)Borges N.2 : 0
    10Walton A.Kovacevic A.0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    12Altmaier D.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)0 : 2
    13Vacherot V. (6)Wong C. (LL)2 : 1
    14Dzumhur D.Monfils G. (WC)
    15Nakashima B.Ymer E. (Q)2 : 0
    16Kypson P. (Q)De Minaur A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kecmanovic M.
    2Atmane T.Jodar R.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Svrcina D.Cobolli F. (5)
    5Tiafoe F. (8)Kovacevic A.
    6Bellucci M.Davidovich Fokina A. (4)
    7Vacherot V. (6)TBD #14
    8Nakashima B.Kypson P.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2