Bernard Tomic vs Thai-Son Kwiatkowski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Little Rock Challenger Men Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
Result
2:1
28/05/2024 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Little Rock (USA), hard - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Pennington R. (Usa)

Match Stats

Aces
88
Double Faults
78
1st Serve Percentage
48%58%
1st Serve Points Won
78% (28/36)62% (33/53)
2nd Serve Points Won
36% (14/39)31% (12/39)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)36% (4/11)
1st Return Points Won
40% (21/53)22% (8/36)
2nd Return Points Won
69% (27/39)64% (25/39)
Break Points Converted
64% (7/11)45% (5/11)
Max Points In Row
77
Service Points Won
55% (40/73)49% (44/89)
Return Points Won
51% (45/89)45% (33/73)
Total Points Won
52% (85/162)48% (77/162)
Max Games In Row
32
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)46% (6/13)
Return Games Won
54% (7/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
58% (15/26)42% (11/26)

Chances of winning


Bernard Tomic
48.6%
Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 35.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.
  • Thai-Son Kwiatkowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thai-Son Kwiatkowski's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thai-Son Kwiatkowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.56)

    1.82
    (2.22)
    6.8%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Kwiatkowski will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kwiatkowski: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tomic in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Kwiatkowski is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tomic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Our prediction for today's Tomic to win the game is with odds 1.9.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski were as follows:
    22.10.2023 Bernard Tomic - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski 2:1
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    18.05.2024 Bernard Tomic - Andres Andrade Tomic B. retired
    17.05.2024 Bernard Tomic - Axel Nefve 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger M. (1)Kypson P. (Q)1 : 2
    2Zink T.Wu Tung-Lin (RET.)1 : 0
    3Noguchi R.Zhou Y.2 : 0
    4Sell K.Jubb P. (8)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Nanda G.2 : 0
    6Nakagawa N.Kotzen A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ivashka I. (PR)Andrade A.0 : 2
    8Kozlov S. (Q)Dougaz A.2 : 1
    9Escoffier A. (6)Soriano Barrera A. (Q)0 : 2
    10Zheng M. (WC)Langmo C.2 : 0
    11Chung H. (LL)Martin A.0 : 2
    12Mejia N.Shimizu Y. (3)0 : 2
    13Rodriguez Taverna S. (RET.) (5)Miyoshi K. (Q)0 : 1
    14Milavsky D. (Q)Bouzige M.2 : 0
    15Maloney P.Kicker N. (Q)2 : 1
    16Jodar R.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kypson P.Zink T.2 : 0
    2Noguchi R.Jubb P. (8)2 : 0
    3Galarneau A. (4)Nakagawa N.0 : 2
    4Andrade A.Kozlov S.2 : 1
    5Soriano Barrera A.Zheng M.0 : 2
    6Martin A.Shimizu Y. (3)2 : 0
    7Miyoshi K.Milavsky D.2 : 0
    8Maloney P.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kypson P.Noguchi R.2 : 0
    2Nakagawa N.Andrade A.0 : 2
    3Zheng M.Martin A.2 : 0
    4Miyoshi K.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kypson P.Andrade A.2 : 0
    2Zheng M.Draxl L. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Kypson P.Zheng M.2 : 1