Result
1:0
08/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 15
- Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 25 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Cova A. ⚽,
- 43', Perea J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Idriz S. 🟨,
- 54', Dabo A. 🟨,
- 57', Valbuena Y. 🟨,
- 66', Dabo A. ↓, Sonha T. ↑,
- 66', Ruskov M. ↓, Pavlov T. ↑,
- 66', Ali E. ↓, Iliev D. ↑,
- 67', Valbuena Y. 🟨,
- 73', Espinoza E. 🟨,
- 74', Ivanov I. 🟨,
- 78', Lamy J. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
- 78', Ivanov I. ↓, Atanasov M. ↑,
- 88', Rusenov S. ↓, Dual W. ↑,
- 88', Nene ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 90+4', Umarbaev P. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr349esm
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
59.4% | Draw
24.5% | Beroe Stara Zagora
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Plovdiv's performance.Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.8) |
3.78 ↑
(3.34) |
5.69 ↑
(4.36) |
6.9%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Beroe will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 54% – 99.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Lokomotiv Plovdiv (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1.
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Beroe has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Beroe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 0.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Plovdiv won against Beroe Stara Zagora?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beroe Stara Zagora won against Lokomotiv Plovdiv?
Beroe Stara Zagora has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora were as follows:
13.12.2024
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:0
07.12.2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
1:2
10.08.2024
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0:2
13.07.2024
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
0:0
14.04.2024
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2:2
Latest results of Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Latest results of Beroe Stara Zagora
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 60:19 | 41 | 65 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 28:32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Arda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21:37 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:45 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
