Result
2:0
31/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - Qualification - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Norway | VG+ |
Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
Turkey | HT Spor |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (484/541) | 83% (352/424) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (484/541) | 83% (352/424) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (74/96) | 68% (88/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.80 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Kevin ⚽, Kaua Elias (A),
- 16', Tiknaz D. E. 🟨,
- 37', Matviienko M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Kaua Elias ⚽, Tobias V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Tiknaz D. E. ↓, Hadziahmetovic A. ↑,
- 57', Kevin ↓, Newerton ↑,
- 57', Marlon Gomes ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
- 60', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 64', Kaua Elias ↓, Traore L. ↑,
- 65', Abraham T. ↓, Kilicsoy S. ↑,
- 65', Pedrinho ↓, Sudakov G. ↑,
- 70', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
- 71', Gabriel Paulista 🟨,
- 71', Tobias V. 🟨,
- 72', Bondar V. 🟨,
- 78', Kayra Yilmaz K. ↓, Bingol T. ↑,
- 79', Topcu E. 🟨,
- 81', Tobias V. ↓, Gocholeishvili G. ↑,
- 88', Joao Mario ↓, Uysal N. ↑,
- 88', Muci E. ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
- 90+2', Alisson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shakhtar Donetsk 49.1% | Draw 25.3% | Beşiktaş 25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Shakhtar Donetsk - Beşiktaş Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.88) |
3.77 ↑ (3.31) |
3.79 ↑ (3.5) |
4.1% (12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Beşiktaş?
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 36 - 70.6%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 8 - 15.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 13.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 58.1% – 83.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 22 - 73.3%). Beşiktaş (votes: 3 - 10%). Tie (votes: 5 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Beşiktaş (1.99) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- TQ, OT - Beşiktaş (6.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Shakhtar (3.65) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Shakhtar (2.44) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Shakhtar (2.31) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Shakhtar (1.74) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Beşiktaş (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 48 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 33 - 68.8%). Beşiktaş (votes: 10 - 20.8%). Tie (votes: 5 - 10.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 4-2. 2nd leg. Neutral location - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
- Shakhtar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Beşiktaş is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Shakhtar might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Beşiktaş?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beşiktaş won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Beşiktaş has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Beşiktaş were as follows:
24.07.2025
Beşiktaş
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
2:4
17.07.2024
Beşiktaş
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
0:1
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Latest results of Beşiktaş
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal