Betim vs Itabirito – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
06/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Mineiro - Round 7

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.830.90
Ball possession
38%62%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
85
Passes
75% (203/271)83% (380/459)
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.830.90
xG on target (xGOT)
0.331.16
Total shots
109
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
42
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
1420
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1615
Passes
75% (203/271)83% (380/459)
Long passes
29% (12/42)54% (38/70)
Passes in final third
53% (36/68)67% (77/115)
Crosses
11% (2/19)24% (5/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.750.74
Throw ins
3026
Fouls
1516
Tackles
63% (10/16)63% (10/16)
Duels won
5057
Clearances
2835
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.160.33
Goals prevented
-0.840.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Luis Araujo 🟨,
  • 32', Ruan Levine , Matheus Galdino ,
  • 41', Gabriel Marques 🟥,
  • 42', Paulinho , Joao Fuhr ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 59', Luis Araujo , Nathan Zamith ,
  • 61', Felipe Camargo 🟨,
  • 66', Nathan Zamith 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 1, Romario , Matheus Galdino (A),
  • 69', Maycon Rangel , Bruno Menezes ,
  • 79', Gleisinho , Kevlin ,
  • 79', Givigi G. , Hulk ,
  • 81', Arilson , Luiz Felipe ,
  • 81', Pedro Henrique , Joao Magno ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, Romario ,

Chances of winning


Betim
40.6%
Draw
29.7%
Itabirito
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 28.6% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 27.3% 22.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Betim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Betim's form might have worsened.
  • Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Itabirito's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Betim than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Betim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Itabirito than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Itabirito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Betim - Itabirito Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.84)
    3.1
    (3.2)
    3.1
    (4.25)
    8.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Betim - Itabirito?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Betim will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Itabirito will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Itabirito (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Betim has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Itabirito's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Betim will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Betim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Betim won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Betim - Itabirito were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Itabirito - Betim 0:1
    05.08.2023 Itabirito - Betim 1:1
    01.07.2023 Betim - Itabirito 0:1
    27.05.2023 Betim - Itabirito 0:2
    Latest results of Betim
    01.02.2026 Betim - Cruzeiro 0:1
    25.01.2026 Athletic Club - Betim 1:1
    21.01.2026 Betim - URT 0:2
    14.01.2026 Betim - Uberlândia 1:1
    Latest results of Itabirito
    01.02.2026 Itabirito - Tombense 2:3
    24.01.2026 URT - Itabirito 2:1
    21.01.2026 Uberlândia - Itabirito 0:1
    14.01.2026 Pouso Alegre - Itabirito 3:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Pouso AlegreCruzeiro0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Atletico-MGAmerica MG1 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1CruzeiroAtletico-MG