Result
1:2
24/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 7
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (272/350) | 83% (435/521) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 2.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (272/350) | 83% (435/521) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (19/43) | 55% (36/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 70% (106/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/18) | 43% (10/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Dewaele S. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Mertens L. ⚽, Jans L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, De Sart A. ⚽, Sarmiento D. (A),
- 59', Boone V. 🟨,
- 61', Sarmiento D. ↓, Da Silva F. ↑,
- 61', Hazard K. ↓, Paulet S. ↑,
- 67', Abrahams K. ↓, Rigo D. ↑,
- 68', Van Hecke J. ↓, Slegers F. ↑,
- 75', Margaritha J. ↓, Najim I. ↑,
- 79', Diouf O. ↓, Soelle F. ↑,
- 79', Lefebvre A. ↓, D'Ostilio J. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Najim I. ⚽, Slegers F. (A),
- 83', De Sart A. ↓, Arslan A. ↑,
- 86', Bustin J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
RFC Liège
24.3% | Draw
27.4% | Beveren
48.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
RFC Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RFC Liège's form might have worsened.Beveren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for RFC Liège than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RFC Liège, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beveren than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beveren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
RFC Liège - Beveren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.86 ↑
(3.12) |
3.39 ↓
(3.45) |
1.98 ↓
(2.11) |
6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for RFC Liège - Beveren?
Users Predictions:
Beveren will win
(18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beveren will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Promotion: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League).
- RFC Liège is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Beveren is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Beveren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Beveren is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, RFC Liège won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, RFC Liège won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has RFC Liège won against Beveren?
RFC Liège has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Beveren won against RFC Liège?
Beveren has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between RFC Liège - Beveren were as follows:
15.02.2025
Beveren
-
RFC Liège
3:1
31.08.2024
RFC Liège
-
Beveren
0:0
31.03.2024
RFC Liège
-
Beveren
5:1
24.09.2023
Beveren
-
RFC Liège
1:2
Latest results of RFC Liège
Latest results of Beveren
