Result
3:2
26/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/340) | 72% (247/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (252/340) | 72% (247/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 30% (16/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (53/87) | 56% (68/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 44% (8/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Kluskins G. ⚽, Dobrecovs D. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Diallo B. ⚽, Kone M. (A),
- 27', Sidorovs M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 2, Rascevskis O. ⚽, Sdaigui Z. (A),
- 34', Diakite T. ↓, Barkovskis N. ↑,
- 35', Lizunovs V. 🟨,
- 42', Diallo B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Kone M. ↓, Diedhiou B. ↑,
- 46', Gaucis R. ↓, Grjaznovs A. ↑,
- 48', Williams W. 🟨,
- 51', Kluskins G. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 2, Skrebels R. ⚽,
- 65', Kluskins G. ↓, Kalmarzy A. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 2, Skrebels R. ⚽, Ivanovs E. (A),
- 76', Krautmanis J. ↓, Fjodorovs M. ↑,
- 80', Dzerins R. ↓, Leitans G. ↑,
- 84', Fofana W. ↓, Mihalcovs G. ↑,
- 85', Tchamba B. 🟨,
- 89', Sdaigui Z. 🟨,
- 90+3', Tchamba B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Leitans G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
49.6% | Draw
25.3% | Grobiņa
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.76) |
3.63 ↓
(4) |
3.65 ↑
(3.6) |
9.1%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Daugavpils will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Grobiņa will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Daugavpils: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- In recent matches, Daugavpils has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Grobiņa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Daugavpils is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:10. (average 3.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:0. (average 5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Grobiņa?
BFC Daugavpils has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa were as follows:
04.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
11.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:2
14.09.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Grobiņa
4:0
27.06.2024
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:0
07.05.2024
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:3
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
