Result
3:2
15/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (353/428) | 73% (257/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.67 | 1.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (353/428) | 73% (257/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 37% (25/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (100/136) | 68% (86/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 15% (5/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 78% (21/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Taty C. (Pen),
- 11', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 12', Doudou P. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Puzirevskis A. ⚽, Rascevskis O. (A),
- 28', Minins J. 🟨,
- 41', Krautmanis J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Krautmanis J. ↓, Agapov M. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 1, Taty C. (Pen),
- 63', Doudou P. ↓, Gaucis R. ↑,
- 64', Puzirevskis A. ↓, Kluskins G. ↑,
- 66', Fofana W. ↓, Kumater S. ↑,
- 67', Druzinins D. 🟨,
- 68', Agapov M. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 1, Promise V. ⚽, Saidy M. (A),
- 77', Cucurs D. ↓, Lizunovs V. ↑,
- 82', Fjodorovs M. ↓, Knapsis E. ↑,
- 84', Williams W. 🟨,
- 90', 3 - 2, Agapov M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
54.3% | Draw
24.2% | Grobiņa
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.86) |
3.89 ↑
(3.47) |
4.39 ↑
(3.39) |
6.1%
(12.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa?
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): BFC Daugavpils will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 2.
- Daugavpils is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Grobiņa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Daugavpils is considered a favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 29:12. (average 3.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 4.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against Grobiņa?
BFC Daugavpils has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grobiņa won against BFC Daugavpils?
Grobiņa has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - Grobiņa were as follows:
26.06.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
Grobiņa
3:2
04.05.2025
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
1:0
11.03.2025
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:2
14.09.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
Grobiņa
4:0
27.06.2024
Grobiņa
-
BFC Daugavpils
3:0
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latest results of Grobiņa
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 76 |
| 2 | RFS | 29 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 70 |
| 3 | FK Liepaja | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 51:43 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 47:54 | -7 | 43 |
| 5 | Auda | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 38:39 | -1 | 43 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:39 | -7 | 32 |
| 7 | Tukums 2000 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 8 | Super Nova | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 36:48 | -12 | 26 |
| 9 | Metta | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30:62 | -32 | 24 |
| 10 | Grobina | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:56 | -28 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
