Result
1:7
30/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.30 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (233/300) | 90% (549/612) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 2.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 3.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (233/300) | 90% (549/612) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (17/44) | 28% (5/18) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 80% (177/220) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.49 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.76 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -3.24 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Kopilovs M. ⚽, Fofana W. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Prenga H. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
- 16', 1 - 2, Porsan Clemente J. ⚽, Karashima Y. (A),
- 29', Lipuscek Z. 🟨,
- 43', Ivanovs E. 🟨,
- 44', Fofana W. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 5)
- 46', Ikaunieks D. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 3, Karashima Y. ⚽, Ikaunieks J. (A),
- 56', 1 - 4, Lemajic D. ⚽, Mares P. (A),
- 58', 1 - 5, Ikaunieks J. ⚽, Porsan Clemente J. (A),
- 60', Fofana W. ↓, Garzha A. ↑,
- 64', Karashima Y. ↓, Sibass R. ↑,
- 64', Porsan Clemente J. ↓, Melkis R. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 6, Lemajic D. ⚽, Odisharia L. (A),
- 64', Odisharia L. ↓, Saidy M. ↑,
- 71', Lipuscek Z. ↓, Stuglis E. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 7, Melkis R. ⚽, Zelenkovs D. (A),
- 79', Murakami S. ↓, Bujanovs K. ↑,
- 80', Kauselis K. ↓, Galajs A. ↑,
- 88', Ivanovs E. ↓, Dauksts R. ↑,
Chances of winning
BFC Daugavpils
7.8% | Draw
15.4% | RFS
76.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFC Daugavpils's form might have worsened.RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFS's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RFS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
BFC Daugavpils - RFS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
12.04 ↑
(6.69) |
6.09 ↑
(4.45) |
1.22 ↓
(1.38) |
6.8%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - RFS?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Daugavpils will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). RFS will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 0.
- Daugavpils has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- RFS is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, RFS is the clear favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:38. (average 0.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has BFC Daugavpils won against RFS?
BFC Daugavpils has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has RFS won against BFC Daugavpils?
RFS has won 11 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - RFS were as follows:
09.05.2025
RFS
-
BFC Daugavpils
5:1
15.03.2025
BFC Daugavpils
-
RFS
1:2
06.10.2024
BFC Daugavpils
-
RFS
0:3
17.09.2024
RFS
-
BFC Daugavpils
4:1
13.07.2024
RFS
-
BFC Daugavpils
2:1
Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Riga FC | 23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 55:15 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | RFS | 23 | 18 | 1 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 55 |
| 3 | Auda | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:42 | -8 | 30 |
| 6 | Jelgava | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:25 | -5 | 27 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:41 | -16 | 21 |
| 9 | Grobina | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 21:44 | -23 | 19 |
| 10 | Metta | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:47 | -29 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
