BFC Daugavpils vs RFS: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Latvian Virsliga BFC Daugavpils - RFS
Result
1:7
30/06/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Virsliga - Round 21
BFC Daugavpils - RFS - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.30
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
718
Shots on target
312
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
78% (233/300)90% (549/612)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.442.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.093.76
Total shots
718
Shots on target
312
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
513
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
03
Big Chances
16
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
734
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
178
Passes
78% (233/300)90% (549/612)
Long passes
39% (17/44)28% (5/18)
Passes in final third
61% (34/56)80% (177/220)
Crosses
18% (2/11)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.232.49
Throw-ins
1015
Fouls
817
Tackles
75% (6/8)80% (8/10)
Duels won
3938
Clearances
2418
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
3.761.09
Goals prevented
-3.240.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Kopilovs M. , Fofana W. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Prenga H. , Ikaunieks J. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 2, Porsan Clemente J. , Karashima Y. (A),
  • 29', Lipuscek Z. 🟨,
  • 43', Ivanovs E. 🟨,
  • 44', Fofana W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 46', Ikaunieks D. , Lemajic D. ,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Karashima Y. , Ikaunieks J. (A),
  • 56', 1 - 4, Lemajic D. , Mares P. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 5, Ikaunieks J. , Porsan Clemente J. (A),
  • 60', Fofana W. , Garzha A. ,
  • 64', Karashima Y. , Sibass R. ,
  • 64', Porsan Clemente J. , Melkis R. ,
  • 64', 1 - 6, Lemajic D. , Odisharia L. (A),
  • 64', Odisharia L. , Saidy M. ,
  • 71', Lipuscek Z. , Stuglis E. ,
  • 75', 1 - 7, Melkis R. , Zelenkovs D. (A),
  • 79', Murakami S. , Bujanovs K. ,
  • 80', Kauselis K. , Galajs A. ,
  • 88', Ivanovs E. , Dauksts R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


BFC Daugavpils
7.8%
Draw
15.4%
RFS
76.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.6% 20.5% 65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.2% 19.9% 67.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFC Daugavpils's form might have worsened.
  • RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFS's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RFS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • BFC Daugavpils - RFS Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    12.04
    (6.69)
    6.09
    (4.45)
    1.22
    (1.38)
    6.8%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for BFC Daugavpils - RFS?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Daugavpils will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). RFS will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 0.
    • Daugavpils has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • RFS is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, RFS is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 9:38. (average 0.6:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:16. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between BFC Daugavpils - RFS were as follows:
    09.05.2025 RFS - BFC Daugavpils 5:1
    15.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils - RFS 1:2
    06.10.2024 BFC Daugavpils - RFS 0:3
    17.09.2024 RFS - BFC Daugavpils 4:1
    13.07.2024 RFS - BFC Daugavpils 2:1
    Latest results of BFC Daugavpils
    Latest results of RFS
    26.06.2025 Jelgava - RFS 0:1
    22.06.2025 RFS - Auda Riga 1:0
    18.06.2025 Riga - RFS 3:1
    14.06.2025 RFS - Super Nova 2:1
    31.05.2025 RFS - Grobiņa 6:0
    Latvian Virsliga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Riga FC21173151:123954
    2RFS21161451:193249
    3FK Liepaja21105635:31435
    4Auda21104731:23834
    5BFC Daugavpils2175930:40-1026
    6Jelgava2166919:23-424
    7Grobina21541220:41-2119
    8Super Nova2139925:31-618
    9Tukums 200021461123:39-1618
    10Metta21351317:43-2614

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Virsliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga

    Which TV channels are streaming of BFC Daugavpils - RFS?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    latviaLatviaSportacentrs TV
    worldWorldOnefootball
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