Biarritz vs Provence Rugby – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
26:18
06/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Pro D2 - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFranceCANAL+ Sport

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (10 - 13)
  • 2nd Half (16 - 5)

Chances of winning


Biarritz
53.7%
Draw
4.6%
Provence Rugby
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 5.2% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 5.4% 45.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Biarritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Biarritz's performance.
  • Provence Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Provence Rugby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Biarritz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Biarritz - Provence Rugby Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.96)
    20.3
    (17.94)
    2.23
    (1.96)
    8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 44.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biarritz won 1.
    • Biarritz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Provence Rugby has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Biarritz won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 270:337. (average 19.3:24.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Biarritz won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 170:112. (average 24.3:16).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Biarritz - Provence Rugby were as follows:
    12.09.2025 Provence Rugby - Biarritz 52:8
    09.05.2025 Provence Rugby - Biarritz 46:14
    15.11.2024 Biarritz - Provence Rugby 25:0
    10.05.2024 Biarritz - Provence Rugby 16:27
    15.12.2023 Provence Rugby - Biarritz 29:21
    Latest results of Biarritz
    27.02.2026 Mont-De-Marsan - Biarritz 34:16
    20.02.2026 Biarritz - Vannes 33:40
    30.01.2026 Biarritz - FC Grenoble 25:15
    23.01.2026 US Dax - Biarritz 24:15
    Latest results of Provence Rugby
    27.02.2026 Provence Rugby - Agen 22:24
    20.02.2026 US Dax - Provence Rugby 33:21
    30.01.2026 Carcassonne - Provence Rugby 19:23
    French Pro D2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Vannes242013807:43493
    2Colomiers241707625:38076
    3Provence Rugby2414010700:53871
    4Valence Romans241509624:58866
    5CA Brive2413110665:50463
    6US Oyonnax2412012731:54062
    7Agen2412012625:57057
    8Aurillac2411013578:62552
    9Grenoble FC2411013590:65749
    10Angouleme2410014426:59845
    11Biarritz Olympique2410113614:69243
    12Beziers2410014498:60342
    13Mont-de-Marsan249114528:77941
    14Nevers248115574:79640
    15US Dax2411013561:54839
    16Carcassonne246117443:73731

          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Pro D2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Nationale