Bidco United vs Gor Mahia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Oddoh B. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+10', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Bidco United
17.4%
Draw
29.6%
Gor Mahia
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.6% 30.4% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 30.4% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bidco United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Bidco United - Gor Mahia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.22
    (4.45)
    3.06
    (3.01)
    1.71
    (1.87)
    10.5%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 2.
    • Recent form of Bidco United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Gor Mahia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bidco United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gor Mahia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bidco United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bidco United - Gor Mahia were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Gor Mahia - Bidco United 0:1
    20.02.2025 Bidco United - Gor Mahia 0:0
    08.12.2024 Gor Mahia - Bidco United 0:1
    23.06.2024 Bidco United - Gor Mahia 3:4
    28.10.2023 Gor Mahia - Bidco United 0:0
    Latest results of Bidco United
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    18.01.2026 Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar 3:0
    14.01.2026 Gor Mahia - Muranga Seal 3:2
    11.01.2026 Shabana - Gor Mahia 0:0
    21.12.2025 Nairobi United - Gor Mahia 1:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia30197446:192764
    2Leopards29167636:221455
    3Police FC291212526:17948
    4Kakamega Homeboyz301211743:311247
    5Shabana29138832:30247
    6Nairobi United29129840:301045
    7KCB291181030:31-141
    8Tusker291251224:27-341
    9Mara Sugar29913727:25240
    10Bandari29815622:20239
    11Muranga291081135:35038
    12Mathare Utd30981328:31-335
    13Posta Rangers297111124:36-1232
    14APS Bomet297101229:33-431
    15Ulinzi Stars29871429:34-531
    16Kariobangi Sharks306121219:30-1130
    17Bidco United304121417:34-1724
    18Sofapaka30391817:39-2218

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Super League