Binissalem vs Penya Independent – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Binissalem - Penya Independent
Result
1:0
22/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Binissalem
19.4%
Draw
28.2%
Penya Independent
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 29.3% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 29.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binissalem's form might have worsened.
  • Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penya Independent's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binissalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penya Independent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Binissalem - Penya Independent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.69
    (3.27)
    3.23
    (3.1)
    1.73
    (2.12)
    10%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Binissalem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Penya Independent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Penya Independent will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Binissalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Binissalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Binissalem - Penya Independent were as follows:
    12.03.2023 Penya Independent - Binissalem 4:1
    05.11.2022 Binissalem - Penya Independent 2:0
    Latest results of Binissalem
    08.02.2025 Binissalem - Constancia 0:1
    02.02.2025 Porreres - Binissalem 1:0
    26.01.2025 Llosetense - Binissalem 2:2
    18.01.2025 Binissalem - Portmany 0:1
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2