Binissalem vs Penya Independent – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
22/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 49', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Binissalem
19.4%
Draw
28.2%
Penya Independent
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.8% 29.3% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7% 29.2% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Binissalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Binissalem's form might have worsened.
  • Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penya Independent's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Binissalem than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Binissalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penya Independent, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Binissalem - Penya Independent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.69
    (3.27)
    3.23
    (3.1)
    1.73
    (2.12)
    10%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Binissalem is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Penya Independent is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Penya Independent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Penya Independent will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Binissalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Binissalem won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Binissalem - Penya Independent were as follows:
    12.03.2023 Penya Independent - Binissalem 4:1
    05.11.2022 Binissalem - Penya Independent 2:0
    Latest results of Binissalem
    08.02.2025 Binissalem - Constancia 0:1
    02.02.2025 Porreres - Binissalem 1:0
    26.01.2025 Llosetense - Binissalem 2:2
    18.01.2025 Binissalem - Portmany 0:1
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B32255297:217680
    2Manacor32244468:343476
    3Pena Deportiva32198566:283865
    4Constancia321751056:282856
    5Llosetense32159856:381854
    6Inter Ibiza321551242:39350
    7Formentera321212835:26948
    8Mercadal321441428:36-846
    9Cardassar321181334:51-1741
    10Platges de Calvia321161536:38-239
    11Santanyi321081440:55-1538
    12Binissalem329101323:33-1037
    13Alcudia321141734:58-2437
    14Son Cladera321051737:58-2135
    15Portmany32861824:47-2330
    16Collerense325101739:61-2225
    17Felanitx324111727:57-3023
    18Rotlet Molinar32482032:66-3420

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