Ventspils vs Jelgava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
07/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Nacionala Liga

Chances of winning


Ventspils
64.5%
Jelgava
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ventspils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventspils than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Ventspils - Jelgava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.42)

    2.57
    (2.61)
    9.5%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 4.
    • Ventspils has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jelgava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Jelgava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ventspils has had a series of away games.
    • Ventspils will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ventspils won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ventspils won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ventspils - Jelgava were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Jelgava - Ventspils 2:3
    05.01.2025 Ventspils - Jelgava 3:2
    19.10.2024 Jelgava - Ventspils 1:3
    06.01.2024 Jelgava - Ventspils 0:3
    28.10.2023 Ventspils - Jelgava 0:3
    Latest results of Ventspils
    06.12.2025 Aizpute - Ventspils 1:3
    29.11.2025 RSU - Ventspils 3:1
    15.11.2025 Amber Volley - Ventspils 3:0
    08.11.2025 Ventspils - Vecumnieki 1:3
    01.11.2025 Jelgava - Ventspils 2:3
    Latest results of Jelgava
    06.12.2025 Jelgava - Amber Volley 1:3
    30.11.2025 Vecumnieki - Jelgava 2:3
    20.11.2025 RSU - Jelgava 3:1
    08.11.2025 Aizpute - Jelgava 3:1
    01.11.2025 Jelgava - Ventspils 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1AugsdaugavaBye
    5VentspilsAizpute2 : 0
    6VecumniekiLigatne2 : 0
    7Alytaus UltraVK Jelgava2 : 0
    8PiejuraRSU1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1Bye
    3VentspilsVecumnieki
    4Alytaus UltraRSU