Mosta vs Birkirkara – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
14/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 22
  • Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
46%54%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
15
Corner kicks
18
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
817
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
712
Corner kicks
18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Dimech S. , Micallef N. ,
  • 67', Acheampong G. 🟨,
  • 68', Bayo J. , Vrcic J. ,
  • 71', Kozic A. , Diamanka C. ,
  • 74', Pedro Cacho , Giancarlo ,
  • 86', Acheampong G. , Viveros S. ,
  • 90', Emmanuel P. , Zibo S. ,

Chances of winning


Mosta
22.2%
Draw
26.7%
Birkirkara
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 24.2% 56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 23.5% 58.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birkirkara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birkirkara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mosta - Birkirkara Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.08
    (4.72)
    3.4
    (3.8)
    1.78
    (1.63)
    10.2%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 0.
    • Recent form of Mosta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Birkirkara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Mosta has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Birkirkara has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birkirkara is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Birkirkara were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Birkirkara - Mosta 2:0
    19.04.2025 Birkirkara - Mosta 1:0
    08.02.2025 Birkirkara - Mosta 2:0
    29.11.2024 Birkirkara - Mosta 2:0
    29.09.2024 Mosta - Birkirkara 0:1
    Latest results of Mosta
    08.02.2026 Mosta - Sliema Wanderers 0:1
    04.02.2026 Naxxar Lions - Mosta 5:0
    31.01.2026 Paola Hibernians - Mosta 1:0
    28.01.2026 Mġarr United - Mosta 0:3
    25.01.2026 Floriana - Mosta 2:1
    Latest results of Birkirkara
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana862016:41220
    2Hamrun853011:11018
    3Marsaxlokk84228:9-114
    4Gzira841311:9213
    5Naxxar841317:16113
    6Valletta833211:4712
    7Sliema83327:8-112
    8Birkirkara832310:7311
    9Hibernians83149:13-410
    10Zabbar81256:10-45
    11Tarxien81166:16-104
    12Mosta80171:16-151

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