Bristol Rovers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Memorial Stadium (Bristol).

League One - Round 40
Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Iceland	Viaplay, Vodafone Sport
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	NOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	TSN Malta 7
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Extra
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.02	1.09
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
53% (117/222)	75% (321/430)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02	1.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.10	1.17
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
7	5
Shots outside the Box
2	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
11	13
Offsides
5	3
Free Kicks
14	16
Passes
53% (117/222)	75% (321/430)
Long passes
25% (16/65)	32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
40% (36/91)	47% (58/123)
Crosses
0% (0/11)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.52	0.51
Fouls
16	14
Tackles
63% (12/19)	50% (8/16)
Duels won
59	74
Clearances Total
54	40
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	1
xGOT faced
1.17	1.10
Goals prevented
-0.83	0.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Anderson K. ⚽, Dowell K. (A),
19', 1 - 1, O'Donkor G. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Ward J. 🟨,
56', Shaw K. 🟨,
56', Leonard M. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
59', Davies B. 🟨,
66', Shaw K. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
74', O'Donkor G. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
78', Dowell K. ↓, May A. ↑,
79', Laird E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
84', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
85', 1 - 2, Stansfield J. (Pen),
85', Forde S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
85', Moore T. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
86', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
90', Stansfield J. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
90', Taylor C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bristol Rovers
12.2%

Draw
19.9%

Birmingham City
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

19%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9%

18.5%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Birmingham City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.81 ↑ (7)	4.75 ↓ (4.9)	1.39 ↑ (1.37)	6% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 71.4% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Gardner-Hickman T. (Knock) Paik Seung-Ho (Injury)
Last 4 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Birmingham City?

Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bristol Rovers?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City were as follows:

14.12.2024 Birmingham City - Bristol Rovers 2:0

Latest results of Bristol Rovers

29.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers 5:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

29.03.2025 Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town 4:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Northampton Town - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

11.03.2025 Birmingham City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Birmingham City - Lincoln City 1:0 ✺

04.03.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two