Result
1:2
01/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 40
- Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malta | TSN Malta 7 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Poland | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (117/222) | 75% (321/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 53% (117/222) | 75% (321/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (16/65) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (36/91) | 47% (58/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.51 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 74 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 54 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Anderson K. ⚽, Dowell K. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, O'Donkor G. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', Ward J. 🟨,
- 56', Shaw K. 🟨,
- 56', Leonard M. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
- 59', Davies B. 🟨,
- 66', Shaw K. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
- 74', O'Donkor G. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
- 78', Dowell K. ↓, May A. ↑,
- 79', Laird E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
- 84', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 2, Stansfield J. (Pen),
- 85', Forde S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
- 85', Moore T. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
- 86', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
- 90', Stansfield J. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
- 90', Taylor C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
12.2% | Draw
19.9% | Birmingham City
67.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)The chances for Birmingham City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2%)
Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.81 ↑
(7) |
4.75 ↓
(4.9) |
1.39 ↑
(1.37) |
6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 71.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K.
(Knee Injury)
Martin C.
(Injury)
Omochere P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Gardner-Hickman T.
(Knock)
Paik Seung-Ho
(Injury)
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Birmingham City?
Bristol Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bristol Rovers?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City were as follows:
14.12.2024
Birmingham City
-
Bristol Rovers
2:0
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Huddersfield | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Luton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Stockport County | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Leyton Orient | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Doncaster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Exeter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mansfield | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Wigan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 16 | Burton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 20 | Wycombe | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 21 | Reading | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 1 |
| 22 | Northampton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
| 23 | Plymouth | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
