Bristol Rovers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
1:2
01/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 40
  • Referee: Yates O. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport+, V Sport Ultra
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 1
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.09
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
53% (117/222)75% (321/430)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
2.021.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.17
Total shots
97
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1113
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1416
Passes
53% (117/222)75% (321/430)
Long passes
25% (16/65)32% (23/71)
Passes in final third
40% (36/91)47% (58/123)
Crosses
0% (0/11)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.520.51
Fouls
1614
Tackles
63% (12/19)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5974
Clearances Total
5440
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.171.10
Goals prevented
-0.830.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Anderson K. ⚽, Dowell K. (A),
  • 19', 1 - 1, O'Donkor G. ⚽, Taylor C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', Ward J. 🟨,
  • 56', Shaw K. 🟨,
  • 56', Leonard M. ↓, Paik Seung-Ho ↑,
  • 59', Davies B. 🟨,
  • 66', Shaw K. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
  • 74', O'Donkor G. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
  • 78', Dowell K. ↓, May A. ↑,
  • 79', Laird E. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
  • 84', Sotiriou R. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 2, Stansfield J. (Pen),
  • 85', Forde S. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
  • 85', Moore T. ↓, Senior J. ↑,
  • 86', Butcher M. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
  • 90', Stansfield J. ↓, Hanley G. ↑,
  • 90', Taylor C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
12.2%		Draw
19.9%		Birmingham City
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 19% 67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9% 18.5% 69.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • The chances for Birmingham City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 7.81 ↑
    (7)    		 4.75 ↓
    (4.9)    		 1.39 ↑
    (1.37)    		 6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 71.4% – 100%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Birmingham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Gardner-Hickman T. (Knock) Paik Seung-Ho (Injury)
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.5:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Birmingham City - Bristol Rovers 2:0
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    29.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺
    22.03.2025 Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Lincoln City - Bristol Rovers 5:0 ✺
    11.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Bolton Wanderers 3:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    29.03.2025 Birmingham City - Shrewsbury Town 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Northampton Town - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺
    11.03.2025 Birmingham City - Stevenage Borough 2:1 ✺
    08.03.2025 Birmingham City - Lincoln City 1:0 ✺
    04.03.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City 3:1 ✺
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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