Birmingham City vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:2 penalties
15/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsNet 1, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Sports 651
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.161.10
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
53
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
1310
Passes
82% (431/526)75% (332/443)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.161.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.410.77
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
512
Shots inside the box
1512
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
1310
Touches in opposition box
4840
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1415
Passes
82% (431/526)75% (332/443)
Long passes
49% (47/96)34% (26/76)
Passes in final third
74% (131/178)55% (66/119)
Crosses
14% (5/36)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.67
Throw ins
4127
Fouls
1514
Tackles
44% (12/27)70% (21/30)
Duels won
7488
Clearances
3665
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.770.41
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
  • 42', Vicente C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Buonanotte F. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
  • 46', Gray D. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Nmecha L. ⚽, Okafor N. (A),
  • 68', Gnonto W. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
  • 68', Nmecha L. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
  • 74', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
  • 74', Priske A. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
  • 78', Tanaka A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
  • 83', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
  • 83', Okafor N. ↓, Bogle J. ↑,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Panzo J. ↓, Neumann P. ↑,
  • 110', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 114', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Betteka Z. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Stansfield J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Piroe J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ducksch M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Doyle T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Aaronson B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Roberts P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Longstaff S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
22.5%		Draw
28.2%		Leeds United
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 27.3% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 27.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Birmingham City - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.67 ↑
    (3.46)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.43)    		 2.02 ↓
    (2.05)    		 -1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Birmingham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Leeds United were as follows:
    01.01.2024 Leeds United - Birmingham City 3:0
    12.08.2023 Birmingham City - Leeds United 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    10.02.2026 Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion 0:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Oxford United - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Birmingham City - Stoke City 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Leeds United
    10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Leeds United - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Leeds United - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    26.01.2026 Everton - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Leeds United - Fulham 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17TottenhamBye
    20ByeAston Villa
    21NewcastleBye
    24ByeBournemouth
    25Manchester CityBye
    27FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    28WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    29SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    30TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    31RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    32BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49BurnleyBye
    52ByeMillwall
    53Sheffield UtdBye
    55GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    56MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    57PortsmouthBye
    60ByeArsenal
    61PrestonBye
    63WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    64SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    65GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    66WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    67ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    68Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    69WolvesBye
    71SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    72South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    73LiverpoolBye
    75PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    76BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    77Manchester UtdBye
    80ByeBrighton
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    90OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    92ByeOxford Utd
    93EvertonBye
    96ByeSunderland
    97WrexhamBye
    100ByeNottingham
    101IpswichBye
    103BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    104ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    105HullBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109CharltonBye
    112ByeChelsea
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9TottenhamBye
    10ByeAston Villa
    11NewcastleBye
    12ByeBournemouth
    13Manchester CityBye
    14ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    15SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    16SwindonBolton4 : 0
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25BurnleyBye
    26ByeMillwall
    27Sheffield UtdBye
    28AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    29PortsmouthBye
    30ByeArsenal
    31PrestonBye
    32WiganBarrow3 : 2
    33GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    34ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    35WolvesBye
    36SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    38PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    39Manchester UtdBye
    40ByeBrighton
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    46ByeOxford Utd
    47EvertonBye
    48ByeSunderland
    49WrexhamBye
    50ByeNottingham
    51IpswichBye
    52BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    53HullBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    6NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    7Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    8SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    14Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    15PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    16PrestonWigan0 : 1
    17GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    18WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    19LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    20Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    24EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    25WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    26IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    27HullBlackburn1 : 0
    28CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    4Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    8ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    9GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    10LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    11Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    12Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    13WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    14HullChelsea0 : 4
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton
    2NewcastleManchester City
    3West HamBrentford
    4MansfieldArsenal
    5WolvesLiverpool
    6Port ValeSunderland
    7WrexhamChelsea
    8LeedsNorwich
    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy