Birmingham City vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:2 penalties
15/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsNet 1, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Sports 651
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.161.10
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
53
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
1310
Passes
82% (431/526)75% (332/443)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.161.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.410.77
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
512
Shots inside the box
1512
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
1310
Touches in opposition box
4840
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1415
Passes
82% (431/526)75% (332/443)
Long passes
49% (47/96)34% (26/76)
Passes in final third
74% (131/178)55% (66/119)
Crosses
14% (5/36)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.67
Throw ins
4127
Fouls
1514
Tackles
44% (12/27)70% (21/30)
Duels won
7488
Clearances
3665
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.770.41
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
  • 42', Vicente C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Buonanotte F. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
  • 46', Gray D. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Nmecha L. ⚽, Okafor N. (A),
  • 68', Gnonto W. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
  • 68', Nmecha L. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
  • 74', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
  • 74', Priske A. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
  • 78', Tanaka A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
  • 83', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
  • 83', Okafor N. ↓, Bogle J. ↑,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Panzo J. ↓, Neumann P. ↑,
  • 110', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 114', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Betteka Z. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Stansfield J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Piroe J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ducksch M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Doyle T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Aaronson B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Roberts P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Longstaff S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
22.5%		Draw
28.2%		Leeds United
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 27.3% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 27.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Birmingham City - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.67 ↑
    (3.46)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.43)    		 2.02 ↓
    (2.05)    		 -1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Leeds United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Birmingham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Leeds United were as follows:
    01.01.2024 Leeds United - Birmingham City 3:0
    12.08.2023 Birmingham City - Leeds United 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    10.02.2026 Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion 0:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Oxford United - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Birmingham City - Stoke City 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Leeds United
    10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Leeds United - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Leeds United - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    26.01.2026 Everton - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Leeds United - Fulham 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds
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