Birmingham City vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:2 penalties
15/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Hooper S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsNet 1, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Sports 651
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, SKY NET Sports X, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 2, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.161.10
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
53
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
1310
Passes
82% (431/526)75% (332/443)
Yellow cards
30
Expected goals (xG)
1.161.10
xG on target (xGOT)
0.410.77
Total shots
1819
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
512
Shots inside the box
1512
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
20
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
1310
Touches in opposition box
4840
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1415
Passes
82% (431/526)75% (332/443)
Long passes
49% (47/96)34% (26/76)
Passes in final third
74% (131/178)55% (66/119)
Crosses
14% (5/36)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.67
Throw ins
4127
Fouls
1514
Tackles
44% (12/27)70% (21/30)
Duels won
7488
Clearances
3665
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.770.41
Goals prevented
-0.23-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
  • 42', Vicente C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Buonanotte F. ↓, Ampadu E. ↑,
  • 46', Gray D. ↓, Osman I. ↑,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Nmecha L. ⚽, Okafor N. (A),
  • 68', Gnonto W. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
  • 68', Nmecha L. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
  • 74', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
  • 74', Priske A. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
  • 78', Tanaka A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
  • 83', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
  • 83', Okafor N. ↓, Bogle J. ↑,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Roberts P. ⚽,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 91', Panzo J. ↓, Neumann P. ↑,
  • 110', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 114', Solis Romero J. E. ↓, Betteka Z. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Stansfield J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Piroe J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ducksch M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Doyle T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Aaronson B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Roberts P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Longstaff S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
22.5%		Draw
28.2%		Leeds United
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.1% 27.3% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 27.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-3%)
    •

    Birmingham City - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.67 ↑
    (3.46)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.43)    		 2.02 ↓
    (2.05)    		 -1%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Leeds will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
    • Birmingham is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Leeds United were as follows:
    01.01.2024 Leeds United - Birmingham City 3:0
    12.08.2023 Birmingham City - Leeds United 1:0
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    10.02.2026 Birmingham City - West Bromwich Albion 0:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leicester City 2:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Oxford United - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Birmingham City - Stoke City 1:1 ✺
    20.01.2026 Sheffield Wednesday - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Leeds United
    10.02.2026 Chelsea - Leeds United 2:2 ✺
    06.02.2026 Leeds United - Nottingham Forest 3:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Leeds United - Arsenal 0:4 ✺
    26.01.2026 Everton - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    17.01.2026 Leeds United - Fulham 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton
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