Result
0:1
24/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 38
- Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Chances of winning
Stevenage Borough
21.5% | Draw
28.7% | Birmingham City
49.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.41 ↑
(4.33) |
3.29 ↓
(3.7) |
1.9 ↑
(1.7) |
5.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 40.8% – 79.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Stevenage (1.54) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Stevenage (3.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Stevenage (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Stevenage (1.95) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.75 - Stevenage (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 19 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 6 - 31.6%). Birmingham (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
- Recent matches Stevenage is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Birmingham is a favorite.
- There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Stevenage: Forster-Caskey J.
(Injury)
Freeman N.
(Injury)
Freestone L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K.
(Injury)
Hansson E.
(Knock)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Birmingham City?
Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Stevenage Borough?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City were as follows:
11.03.2025
Birmingham City
-
Stevenage Borough
2:1
04.02.2025
Stevenage Borough
-
Birmingham City
0:1
Latest results of Stevenage Borough
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
