Stevenage Borough vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City
Result
0:1
24/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 38
  • Referee: Davies A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Chances of winning


Stevenage Borough
21.5%
Draw
28.7%
Birmingham City
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.2% 24.8% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6% 24.1% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Birmingham City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.41
    (4.33)
    3.29
    (3.7)
    1.9
    (1.7)
    5.8%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 28%). Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 40.8%79.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Birmingham (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    • Recent matches Stevenage is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Birmingham is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Forster-Caskey J. (Injury) Freeman N. (Injury) Freestone L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K. (Injury) Hansson E. (Knock)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City were as follows:
    11.03.2025 Birmingham City - Stevenage Borough 2:1
    04.02.2025 Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City 0:1
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Luton11001:013
    2Stockport County00000:000
    3Bolton00000:000
    4Reading00000:000
    5Wigan00000:000
    6Barnsley00000:000
    7Blackpool00000:000
    8Cardiff00000:000
    9Plymouth00000:000
    10Doncaster00000:000
    11Huddersfield00000:000
    12Leyton Orient00000:000
    13Northampton00000:000
    14Port Vale00000:000
    15Wycombe00000:000
    16Bradford City00000:000
    17Lincoln00000:000
    18Mansfield00000:000
    19Peterborough00000:000
    20Rotherham00000:000
    21Burton00000:000
    22Exeter00000:000
    23Stevenage00000:000
    24AFC Wimbledon10010:1-10

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two