Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion
Result
1:0
20/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.45
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
88% (472/536)77% (236/306)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.980.04
Total shots
88
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1211
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1618
Passes
88% (472/536)77% (236/306)
Long passes
57% (35/61)39% (19/49)
Passes in final third
74% (101/137)50% (34/68)
Crosses
18% (3/17)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.41
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1916
Tackles
74% (14/19)69% (11/16)
Duels won
6350
Clearances
2017
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.040.98
Goals prevented
0.04-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 7', Corcoran M. 🟨,
  • 15', Pasher T. , Damus R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Sanchez A. , Williams J. ,
  • 62', McCartney D. , Daley A. ,
  • 72', Mabika A. , Herivaux Z. ,
  • 72', Shapiro-Thompson A. , Fuson N. ,
  • 72', Dikwa A. , Atkinson D. ,
  • 74', 1 - 0, Atkinson D. , Herivaux Z. (A),
  • 78', Martinez E. , Shashoua S. ,
  • 78', Hamouda R. , Preston T. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez M. , Holstad C. ,
  • 85', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 87', Preston T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Laszo E. 🟥,
  • 90+4', Atkinson D. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rhode Island
49.1%
Draw
25.4%
Birmingham Legion
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 23.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 24.6% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rhode Island has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rhode Island's form might have worsened.
  • Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rhode Island, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.64)
    3.62
    (3.9)
    3.59
    (4.36)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
    • Rhode Island is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    05.07.2025 Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion 1:1
    14.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 0:1
    31.08.2024 Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion 2:0
    17.07.2024 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 1:3
    Latest results of Rhode Island