Rhode Island vs Birmingham Legion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion
Result
1:1
05/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.46
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
77% (294/381)79% (290/368)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
0.331.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.161.75
Total shots
66
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
23
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
77% (294/381)79% (290/368)
Long passes
41% (24/59)51% (32/63)
Passes in final third
61% (71/117)64% (48/75)
Crosses
30% (7/23)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.450.90
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1416
Tackles
55% (11/20)77% (10/13)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
1234
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
1.750.16
Goals prevented
0.75-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Damus R. , Turnbull S. (A),
  • 29', Suarez S. 🟨,
  • 35', Damus R. 🟨,
  • 44', 1 - 1, Fuson N. , Dikwa A. (A),
  • 45+2', Holstad C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Laszo E. 🟨,
  • 52', Kavita P. , Rufe J. ,
  • 57', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
  • 65', Brito J. , Ybarra M. ,
  • 71', Hope-Gund R. , Mabika A. ,
  • 72', Preston T. , Trejo D. ,
  • 79', Rodriguez M. , Rovira D. ,
  • 80', Mensah M. , Centeno E. ,
  • 80', Damus R. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 90+3', Kwizera J. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Paterson AJ 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Rhode Island
52.8%
Draw
24.8%
Birmingham Legion
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26.8% 22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 22.4% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.82)
    3.7
    (3.43)
    4.09
    (4.06)
    9.1%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rhode Island will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rhode Island (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 10)
    • Recent performances by Rhode Island have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Birmingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rhode Island has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Rhode Island is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Rhode Island won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
    14.05.2025 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 0:1
    31.08.2024 Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion 2:0
    17.07.2024 Birmingham Legion - Rhode Island 1:3
    Latest results of Rhode Island
    Latest results of Birmingham Legion
    USL Championship Table
    2025

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