Result
14:28
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 14)
- 3', Kvatadze I. (Try),
- 4', Tsirekidze L. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Pitinari J. (Try),
- 18', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Kakovin V. 🟨,
- 33', Hasa M. (Try),
- 34', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Canali M. 🟨,
- 40+1', Kvatadze I. (Try),
- 40+2', Tsirekidze L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 14)
- 58', Locatelli S. 🟨,
- 64', Pani L. (Try),
- 65', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Da Re G. (Try),
- 80+1', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Black Lion
38.7% | Draw
4.3% | Zebre
56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Black Lion - Zebre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(1.89) |
21.94 ↑
(20.33) |
1.64 ↓
(1.97) |
8.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Black Lion - Zebre?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zebre (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Zebre will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:24.
Preview Facts
- Zebre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Black Lion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Black Lion won against Zebre?
Black Lion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zebre won against Black Lion?
Zebre has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Black Lion - Zebre were as follows:
Latest results of Black Lion
Challenge Cup Rugby Table
MainGroup 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Montpellier | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 119:77 | 20 |
| 2 | Zebre | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 99:81 | 14 |
| 3 | Ospreys | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 102:97 | 13 |
| 4 | Connacht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 179:71 | 13 |
| 5 | Black Lion | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 58:132 | 5 |
| 6 | Montauban | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 81:180 | 2 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Benetton | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 182:89 | 19 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 75:78 | 13 |
| 3 | Dragons | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 96:148 | 9 |
| 4 | USA Perpignan | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 111:107 | 8 |
| 5 | Lions | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 90:93 | 8 |
| 6 | Lyon | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 87:126 | 3 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ulster | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 141:55 | 17 |
| 2 | Stade Francais Paris | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 129:90 | 16 |
| 3 | Exeter Chiefs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 129:70 | 14 |
| 4 | Cardiff Rugby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 78:108 | 10 |
| 5 | Racing 92 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 82:152 | 8 |
| 6 | Cheetahs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 62:146 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Challenge Cup (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
