Result
14:28
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 14)
- 3', Kvatadze I. (Try),
- 4', Tsirekidze L. (Conversion Goal),
- 17', Pitinari J. (Try),
- 18', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Kakovin V. 🟨,
- 33', Hasa M. (Try),
- 34', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Canali M. 🟨,
- 40+1', Kvatadze I. (Try),
- 40+2', Tsirekidze L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 14)
- 58', Locatelli S. 🟨,
- 64', Pani L. (Try),
- 65', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Da Re G. (Try),
- 80+1', Da Re G. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Black Lion
38.7% | Draw
4.3% | Zebre
56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Black Lion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Black Lion's form might have worsened.Zebre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zebre's recent form is better than expected.
Black Lion - Zebre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(1.89) |
21.94 ↑
(20.33) |
1.64 ↓
(1.97) |
8.4%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Black Lion - Zebre?
Users Predictions:
Zebre will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zebre will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 22:24.
Preview Facts
- Zebre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Black Lion may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Black Lion won against Zebre?
Black Lion has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zebre won against Black Lion?
Zebre has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Black Lion - Zebre were as follows:
Latest results of Black Lion
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ulster | Ospreys | 28 : 24 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | Stade Rochelais | 18 : 26 |
| 3 | Benetton | Cardiff Rugby | 38 : 35 |
| 4 | Exeter Chiefs | Munster | 31 : 21 |
| 5 | Montpellier | USA Perpignan | 53 : 13 |
| 6 | Connacht | Sharks | 29 : 12 |
| 7 | Zebre | Section Paloise | 31 : 15 |
| 8 | Stade Francais Paris | Dragons | 31 : 36 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ulster | Stade Rochelais | 41 : 24 |
| 2 | Benetton | Exeter Chiefs | 41 : 44 |
| 3 | Montpellier | Connacht | 45 : 22 |
| 4 | Zebre | Dragons | 32 : 35 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ulster | Exeter Chiefs | |
| 2 | Montpellier | Dragons | |
Final
