Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 38
- Referee: Kitchen A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (246/364) | 78% (318/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (246/364) | 78% (318/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (23/81) | 40% (25/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (57/117) | 71% (94/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 42% (11/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 2.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 43% (6/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.46 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Carter H. ↓, Atcheson T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Langstaff M. ↓, Cundle L. ↑,
- 46', McNamara D. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 0, Cundle L. ⚽, Azeez F. (A),
- 59', Sturge Z. 🟥,
- 62', Ribeiro Y. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
- 62', Cantwell T. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 64', Bannan B. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
- 76', Forshaw A. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Alebiosu R. (A),
- 84', Mitchell B. ↓, Smallbone W. ↑,
- 84', Coburn J. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
- 90+6', Atcheson T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millwall
50% | Draw
28.1% | Blackburn Rovers
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Millwall - Blackburn Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(1.96) |
3.37 ↓
(3.46) |
4.27 ↑
(3.95) |
5.7%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Blackburn Rovers?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 22 - 78.6%). Blackburn will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 63.4% – 93.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Blackburn (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millwall will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Blackburn (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 1.
- Millwall is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Blackburn is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millwall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millwall is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Millwall: De Norre C.
(Groin Injury)
Doughty A.
(Calf Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Blackburn: Garrett J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Hedges R.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pears A.
(Injury)
Tronstad S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Leonard R.
(Inactive)
Taylor C.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Millwall will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:35. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Blackburn Rovers?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Millwall?
Blackburn Rovers has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
20.12.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Millwall
2:0
18.04.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Millwall
4:1
21.12.2024
Millwall
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:0
05.03.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Millwall
1:1
24.10.2023
Millwall
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:2
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 78:40 | 38 | 77 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 70 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 37 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 66:38 | 28 | 68 |
| 4 | Millwall | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 52:43 | 9 | 68 |
| 5 | Hull | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 59:56 | 3 | 63 |
| 6 | Southampton | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 61:48 | 13 | 60 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 58:50 | 8 | 60 |
| 8 | Derby | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 55:48 | 7 | 57 |
| 9 | Watford | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 55 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 48:48 | 0 | 53 |
| 11 | Swansea | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:46 | -2 | 52 |
| 12 | Norwich | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:46 | 5 | 51 |
| 13 | Stoke | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 45:40 | 5 | 51 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 49:49 | 0 | 51 |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 53:52 | 1 | 50 |
| 16 | QPR | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:60 | -11 | 50 |
| 17 | Preston | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 49 |
| 18 | Charlton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 42 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 36:48 | -12 | 40 |
| 21 | West Brom | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 39:54 | -15 | 40 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 23 | Leicester | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 38 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 38 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 23:76 | -53 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
