Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 29
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (316/432) | 69% (237/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (316/432) | 69% (237/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (23/69) | 23% (16/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (76/139) | 56% (60/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 29% (7/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (20/25) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Kayembe E. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Miller L. ⚽, Cantwell T. (A),
- 42', Vata R. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
- 45+2', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Miller L. ↓, Alebiosu R. ↑,
- 61', Forshaw A. ↓, Baradji M. ↑,
- 61', Morishita R. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
- 63', Maamma O. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
- 79', Jorgensen M. ↓, Doherty A. ↑,
- 85', Kjerrumgaard L. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
- 90+3', Kayembe E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Blackburn Rovers
43.6% | Draw
29.9% | Watford
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackburn Rovers's performance.Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackburn Rovers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Blackburn Rovers - Watford Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.57) |
3.19 ↓
(3.33) |
3.55 ↑
(2.71) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Watford?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Watford will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 47.1% – 83.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Watford (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Watford will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Watford (votes: 12 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.
- Blackburn has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Watford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Blackburn: Gudjohnsen A.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Leg Injury)
Litherland M.
(Injury)
Miller L.
(Inactive)
Montgomery K.
(Inactive)
Morishita R.
(Injury)
Tavares S.
(Inactive)
Wharton S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Watford: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
Grieves J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Watford: Abankwah J.
(Injury)
Maamma O.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Watford?
Blackburn Rovers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Watford won against Blackburn Rovers?
Watford has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Watford were as follows:
13.09.2025
Watford
-
Blackburn Rovers
0:1
26.04.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Watford
2:1
26.10.2024
Watford
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:0
23.12.2023
Blackburn Rovers
-
Watford
1:2
27.08.2023
Watford
-
Blackburn Rovers
0:1
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
Latest results of Watford
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
