Blackburn Rovers vs Watford – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 29
  • Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.891.13
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
34
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
78
Passes
73% (316/432)69% (237/344)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.891.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.080.40
Total shots
713
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
512
Shots outside the box
21
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
2321
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
78
Passes
73% (316/432)69% (237/344)
Long passes
33% (23/69)23% (16/69)
Passes in final third
55% (76/139)56% (60/108)
Crosses
8% (2/24)29% (7/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.360.64
Throw ins
2427
Fouls
87
Tackles
80% (20/25)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5457
Clearances
2434
Interceptions
1413
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.401.08
Goals prevented
-0.600.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, Kayembe E. ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, Miller L. , Cantwell T. (A),
  • 42', Vata R. , Chakvetadze G. ,
  • 45+2', Kyprianou H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Miller L. , Alebiosu R. ,
  • 61', Forshaw A. , Baradji M. ,
  • 61', Morishita R. , De Neve D. ,
  • 63', Maamma O. , Irankunda N. ,
  • 79', Jorgensen M. , Doherty A. ,
  • 85', Kjerrumgaard L. , Baah K. ,
  • 90+3', Kayembe E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Blackburn Rovers
43.6%
Draw
29.9%
Watford
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 28.4% 34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 29.2% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blackburn Rovers's performance.
  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Watford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blackburn Rovers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Blackburn Rovers - Watford Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (2.57)
    3.19
    (3.33)
    3.55
    (2.71)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Watford?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). Watford will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 47.1%83.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Watford (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Watford will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Watford (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 3.
    • Blackburn has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Watford has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Blackburn: Gudjohnsen A. (Injury) Kargbo A. (Leg Injury) Litherland M. (Injury) Miller L. (Inactive) Montgomery K. (Inactive) Morishita R. (Injury) Tavares S. (Inactive) Wharton S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Watford: Bove E. (Heart Problems) Grieves J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Abankwah J. (Injury) Maamma O. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Watford were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    26.04.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Watford 2:1
    26.10.2024 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 1:0
    23.12.2023 Blackburn Rovers - Watford 1:2
    27.08.2023 Watford - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
    Latest results of Watford
    21.01.2026 Watford - Portsmouth 1:1
    17.01.2026 Watford - Millwall 0:2
    10.01.2026 Bristol City - Watford 5:1
    01.01.2026 Watford - Birmingham City 3:0
    29.12.2025 Norwich City - Watford 0:1
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry ✔ 462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton ✔ 4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd ✔ 4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester ✔ 4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 462123229:89-600

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
    Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
    Leicester is Relegated to League One
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One