Blake Ellis vs Bernard Tomic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/01/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Noumea, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
217
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
52%67%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (37/43)70% (43/61)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (22/39)77% (23/30)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
30% (18/61)14% (6/43)
2nd Return Points Won
23% (7/30)44% (17/39)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)100% (1/1)
Winners
4018
Unforced Errors
4522
Service Points Won
72% (59/82)73% (66/91)
Return Points Won
27% (25/91)28% (23/82)
Total Points Won
49% (84/173)51% (89/173)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Blake Ellis
34.8%
Bernard Tomic
65.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 61.5%

Blake Ellis - Bernard Tomic Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.61
(2.26)

1.44
(1.57)
7.7%
(7.9%)
What is the prediction for Blake Ellis - Bernard Tomic?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ellis (votes: 1 - 50%). Tomic (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ellis is ranked ATP: 509. Tomic is ranked ATP: 187.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tomic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Blake Ellis
    06.01.2026 Blake Ellis - Andre Ilagan 2:0
    18.11.2025 Tai Sach - Blake Ellis Sach T. walkover
    Latest results of Bernard Tomic
    07.01.2026 James Watt - Bernard Tomic Watt J. retired
    17.11.2025 Hayato Matsuoka - Bernard Tomic Tomic B. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Hudd E. (Q)2 : 0
    2Moreno De Alboran N. (Q)Chazal M. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Langmo C.Ogura K. (Q)2 : 0
    4Bernet H.Rodionov J. (5)1 : 2
    5Herbert P. (4)Ellis B.1 : 2
    6Ilagan A.Delaney Ja. (Q)2 : 1
    7Vithoontien L. (Q)Watt J. (Q)0 : 2
    8Glinka D.Tomic B. (8)0 : 2
    9Zheng M. (6)Jasika O.2 : 0
    10Sinclair C. (WC)Added D.1 : 2
    11Tabur C.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    12Onclin G. (WC)Droguet T. (3)0 : 2
    13Barrena A. (7)Gea A.0 : 2
    14Diaz Acosta F.Dussin L. (WC)2 : 0
    15Peniston R.Bouzige M.1 : 2
    16Heide G.Draxl L. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Moreno De Alboran N.2 : 0
    2Langmo C.Rodionov J. (5)0 : 2
    3Ellis B.Ilagan A.2 : 0
    4Watt J. (RET.)Tomic B. (8)1 : 1
    5Zheng M. (6)Added D.2 : 0
    6Tabur C.Droguet T. (3)2 : 1
    7Gea A.Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    8Bouzige M.Draxl L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Thompson J. (1)Rodionov J. (5)0 : 2
    2Ellis B.Tomic B. (8)2 : 1
    3Zheng M. (6)Tabur C.2 : 1
    4Gea A.Draxl L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rodionov J. (5)Ellis B.2 : 1
    2Zheng M. (6)Gea A.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rodionov J. (5)Gea A.