Blake Ellis vs Naoya Honda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
30/03/2026 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Miyazaki, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
128
Double Faults
47
1st serve percentage
58%47%
1st serve points won
63% (49/78)73% (35/48)
2nd serve points won
56% (32/57)60% (33/55)
Break Points Saved
14/171/2
1st return points won
27% (13/48)37% (29/78)
2nd return points won
40% (22/55)44% (25/57)
Break Points Converted
1/23/17
Winners
3932
Unforced errors
6941
Net points won
68% (17/25)67% (4/6)
Service Points Won
60% (81/135)66% (68/103)
Return Points Won
34% (35/103)40% (54/135)
Total Points Won
49% (116/238)51% (122/238)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
81% (13/16)94% (15/16)
Return games won
6% (1/16)19% (3/16)
Total games won
44% (14/32)56% (18/32)

Chances of winning


Blake Ellis
66.2%
Naoya Honda
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blake Ellis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blake Ellis's form might have worsened.
  • Naoya Honda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoya Honda's recent form is better than expected.
  • Blake Ellis - Naoya Honda Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.25)

    2.79
    (3.75)
    7%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Blake Ellis - Naoya Honda?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Honda will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ellis (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ellis is ranked ATP: 471. Honda is ranked ATP: 985.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ellis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ellis is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Blake Ellis
    Latest results of Naoya Honda
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Holmgren A. (1)Oki Y. (WC)1 : 2
    2Shimizu Y.Ilagan A.0 : 2
    3Matsuoka H.Samrej K.2 : 0
    4Broady L.Uchida K. (5)2 : 0
    5Zhou Y. (4)Takahashi Y. (LL)2 : 0
    6Overbeck C. E. (Q)Milic O. (NG)0 : 2
    7Ellis B. (PR)Honda N. (WC)2 : 1
    8Jones M.Sun F. (8)2 : 0
    9Wendelken H. (7)Boulais J. (Q)2 : 0
    10Nam Ji S. (Q)Shick B.0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Tu L. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tokuda R.Hsu Y. H. (3)0 : 2
    13Noguchi R. (6)Wu Tung-Lin0 : 2
    14Taguchi R. (WC)Jubb P.1 : 2
    15Moriya H. (Q)Matsuda K. (Q)2 : 1
    16Trotter J. K.Added D. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Oki Y. (RET.)Ilagan A.0 : 1
    2Matsuoka H.Broady L.1 : 2
    3Zhou Y. (4)Milic O.0 : 2
    4Ellis B.Jones M.2 : 1
    5Wendelken H. (7)Shick B.2 : 0
    6Jasika O.Hsu Y. H. (3)1 : 2
    7Wu Tung-LinJubb P.2 : 1
    8Moriya H.Trotter J. K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Ilagan A.Broady L.0 : 2
    2Milic O. (RET.)Ellis B.1 : 0
    3Wendelken H. (7)Hsu Y. H. (3)2 : 0
    4Wu Tung-LinMoriya H.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Broady L.Ellis B.2 : 0
    2Wendelken H. (7)Wu Tung-Lin2 : 1

    Final
    1Broady L.Wendelken H. (7)