Moana Pasifika vs Blues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Moana Pasifika - Blues
Result
27:21
17/05/2025 at 03:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
02
Conversion Goal Attempts
32
Penalty Goals
40
Penalty Goal Attempts
60
Goals %
44100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
134125
Metres Run With Ball
447292
Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (11 - 14)
  • 10', Pellegrini P. (Missed Penalty),
  • 13', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 25', Tuipulotu T. 🟨,
  • 26', (Penalty Try),
  • 29', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 31', Tuipulotu P. (Try),
  • 32', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 35', Pellegrini P. , Garden-Bachop J. ,
  • 36', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
  • 37', Havili W. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (16 - 7)
  • 41', Christie C. , Segner A. ,
  • 41', Garden-Bachop J. , Pellegrini P. ,
  • 45', Taavao A. , Renata M. ,
  • 45', Funaki T. , Christie F. ,
  • 50', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 53', Pellegrini P. (Penalty Goal),
  • 54', Tuipulotu T. , Pole A. ,
  • 54', Sae-Ta'ufo'ou F. , Apoua C. ,
  • 58', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
  • 59', Evans C. , Forbes C. ,
  • 59', Riccitelli R. , Eklund K. ,
  • 59', Beehre J. , McWhannell L. ,
  • 59', Savea J. , Patafilo P. ,
  • 59', Faiilagi M. , Havili Talitui S. ,
  • 61', Patafilo P. 🟨,
  • 61', Sanerivi M. , Moli S. ,
  • 63', Segner A. , Beehre J. ,
  • 63', Slade S. , Craig A. ,
  • 68', Taumoefolau K. (Try),
  • 69', Pellegrini P. (Missed Conversion),
  • 69', Fusitua J. , Tupaea M. ,
  • 69', Forbes C. , Plummer H. ,
  • 69', Havili W. , Matavao M. ,
  • 73', Sotutu H. (Try),
  • 74', Barrett B. (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Moana Pasifika
26.4%
Draw
3.5%
Blues
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.1% 3.6% 71.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 3.5% 73.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Moana Pasifika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moana Pasifika than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blues than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Moana Pasifika - Blues Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.54
    (3.69)
    26.4
    (25.5)
    1.32
    (1.3)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 58.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for Moana Pasifika - Blues?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Blues will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:34.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Blues is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 90:192. (average 18:38.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moana Pasifika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:79. (average 13.5:39.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moana Pasifika - Blues were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Blues - Moana Pasifika 36:17
    29.03.2024 Moana Pasifika - Blues 8:47
    06.05.2023 Blues - Moana Pasifika 31:30
    Latest results of Moana Pasifika
    03.05.2025 Highlanders - Moana Pasifika 29:34
    26.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Fijian Drua 34:15
    19.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Brumbies 0:24
    12.04.2025 Blues - Moana Pasifika 36:17
    04.04.2025 Moana Pasifika - Waratahs 45:28
    Latest results of Blues
    09.05.2025 Fijian Drua - Blues 5:34
    02.05.2025 Blues - Western Force 40:19
    25.04.2025 Reds - Blues 35:21
    18.04.2025 Crusaders - Blues 25:22
    12.04.2025 Blues - Moana Pasifika 36:17
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12