Result
2:1
13/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (274/332) | 80% (224/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (274/332) | 80% (224/280) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (71/99) | 68% (57/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.54 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Rodrigo Lindoso (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Fellipinho ↓, Bere ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Geovane Maranhao ⚽, Caua Coutinho (A),
- 45+7', 1 - 1, Brunao (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jaco ↓, Vinicius Balotelli ↑,
- 46', Everton ↓, Isaias ↑,
- 46', Leandrinho ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 57', Isaias 🟨,
- 61', Brunao ↓, Gui Sales ↑,
- 62', Titto ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
- 63', Marcus Vinicius 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 1, Rodrigo Lindoso ⚽,
- 65', Caua Coutinho 🟨,
- 67', Fuba 🟨,
- 75', Juninho ↓, Wallace Camilo ↑,
- 76', Lucas Silva ↓, Sandrinho ↑,
- 86', Geovane Maranhao ↓, Filipe Claudino ↑,
- 90+2', Fuba ↓, Daniel Felipe ↑,
Chances of winning
Madureira
38.1% | Draw
32.6% | Boavista
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Madureira - Boavista Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.24) |
2.84 ↓
(2.98) |
3.16 ↓
(3.19) |
8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Madureira - Boavista?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Boavista (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boavista (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Madureira won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 0.9:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Madureira won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Madureira won against Boavista?
Madureira has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Madureira?
Boavista has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Madureira - Boavista were as follows:
30.01.2025
Boavista
-
Madureira
0:0
01.02.2024
Madureira
-
Boavista
3:0
29.01.2023
Boavista
-
Madureira
0:2
Latest results of Madureira
Latest results of Boavista
Draw
Taca Guanabara - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Bangu | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Vasco | Volta Redonda | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Botafogo RJ | Flamengo RJ | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Madureira | Boavista | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Fluminense | Vasco | |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | Madureira | |
Final
