Result
 
                    1:3
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        26/02/2023 at  13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 22
- Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Paços de Ferreira 36.5%
 | Draw 30.2%
 | Boavista 33.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Paços de Ferreira - Boavista Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.59 ↓ (2.96)
 | 3.13 ↑ (3.07)
 | 2.82 ↑ (2.43)
 | 6% (7.6%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Boavista?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            13 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (47.84%),  has project points - 25,  has currently - 12,  has a good chance of relegated (82%),  has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%),  has not chance of win league.
- Boavista has the most likely position - 11 (11.29%),  has project points - 41,  has currently - 26,  has a very small chance of relegated (2%),  has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%),  has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 43, small importance 20, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com) 
- Two teams are playing changeable. 
- Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Boavista: Penaranda A.
(Injury)
 
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9. 
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Boavista?
                    
                    
                        
                            Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Paços de Ferreira?
                    
                    
                        
                             Boavista has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Boavista were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.09.2022 
                                Boavista 
                                - 
                                Paços de Ferreira 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Paços de Ferreira                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Boavista                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Sporting CP | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 20 | 25 | 
| 2 | FC Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 25 | 
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 | 
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 | 
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 | 
| 6 | Moreirense | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 | 
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | 
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 | 
| 12 | Alverca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 10 | 
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 | 
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 | 
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 | 
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 | 
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2