Paços de Ferreira vs Boavista – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Paços de Ferreira - Boavista
Result
1:3
26/02/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 22
  • Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paços de Ferreira
36.5%
Draw
30.2%
Boavista
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.5% 30.3% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9% 29.8% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Paços de Ferreira - Boavista Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.96)
    3.13
    (3.07)
    2.82
    (2.43)
    6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Boavista?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
    • Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (47.84%), has project points - 25, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Boavista has the most likely position - 11 (11.29%), has project points - 41, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 43, small importance 20, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Boavista: Penaranda A. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Boavista were as follows:
    05.09.2022 Boavista - Paços de Ferreira 1:0
    Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
    Latest results of Boavista
    20.02.2023 Benfica - Boavista 3:1
    13.02.2023 Boavista - Casa Pia 0:0
    09.02.2023 Estoril Praia - Boavista 2:1
    04.02.2023 Santa Clara - Boavista 2:2
    29.01.2023 Boavista - Portimonense 4:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting CP330012:1119
    2FC Porto33009:099
    3Moreirense33005:149
    4Braga32108:267
    5Famalicao32104:047
    6Benfica22004:046
    7Gil Vicente31112:204
    8Arouca31116:10-44
    9Vitoria Guimaraes31023:7-43
    10Casa Pia31022:6-43
    11Rio Ave20204:402
    12Estrela30213:4-12
    13Estoril20113:4-11
    14Alverca30123:7-41
    15AFS30123:7-41
    16Nacional30122:7-51
    17Santa Clara20020:4-40
    18Tondela30030:7-70

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2