Result
1:3
26/02/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 22
- Referee: Oliveira M. (Por)
Chances of winning
Paços de Ferreira
36.5% | Draw
30.2% | Boavista
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paços de Ferreira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paços de Ferreira that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paços de Ferreira - Boavista Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↓
(2.96) |
3.13 ↑
(3.07) |
2.82 ↑
(2.43) |
6.1%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Paços de Ferreira - Boavista?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 9).
- Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (47.84%), has project points - 25, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Boavista has the most likely position - 11 (11.29%), has project points - 41, has currently - 26, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 43, small importance 20, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Boavista: Penaranda A.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.
- Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Boavista?
Paços de Ferreira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Paços de Ferreira?
Boavista has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paços de Ferreira - Boavista were as follows:
05.09.2022
Boavista
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:0
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Latest results of Boavista
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
