Boca Juniors vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/07/2025 at 20:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.98
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
89% (578/650)72% (165/228)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.080.98
xG on target (xGOT)
1.781.77
Total shots
149
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
268
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1013
Passes
89% (578/650)72% (165/228)
Long passes
68% (34/50)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
72% (106/148)38% (22/58)
Crosses
22% (6/27)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.16
Throw-ins
2212
Fouls
1310
Tackles
50% (6/12)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4439
Clearances
1541
Interceptions
814
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
17
xGOT faced
1.771.78
Goals prevented
-0.231.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Coronel M. , Bajamich M. ,
  • 61', Fabra F. 🟨,
  • 66', 0 - 1, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ,
  • 71', Villa M. , Auzqui C. ,
  • 71', Fabra F. , Blanco L. ,
  • 71', Braida M. , Aguirre B. ,
  • 72', Paredes L. 🟨,
  • 75', Galvan I. , Martinez D. ,
  • 75', Godoy L. , Franco N. ,
  • 76', 0 - 2, Bajamich M. ,
  • 84', Diaz L. , Lamendola N. ,
  • 85', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. , Zenon K. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 2, Cavani E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
55.9%
Draw
27.5%
Atlético Tucumán
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 26.2% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9% 28.5% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.6)
    3.37
    (3.53)
    5.57
    (5.78)
    7.9%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Atlético Tucumán (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Boca Juniors (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 80%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Boca Juniors 1:0
    29.01.2023 Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    28.08.2022 Boca Juniors - Atlético Tucumán 2:1
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Draw
    2026

    1/32-finals
    1San LorenzoDeportivo Rincon5 : 0
    2Dep. RiestraDeportivo Maipu1 : 0
    3Newells Old BoysAcassuso0 : 2
    4Gimnasia L.P.Deportivo Camioneros4 : 1
    5BanfieldReal Pilar3 : 0
    6Estudiantes Rio CuartoSan Martin T.0 : 1
    7Godoy CruzDeportivo Moron0 : 1
    8Argentinos JrsMidland1 : 2
    9Racing ClubSan Martin Formosa1 : 0
    10Defensa y JusticiaChaco For Ever2 : 1
    11Central CordobaGimnasia Jujuy2 : 3
    12BelgranoAtl. Rafaela3 : 0
    13Velez SarsfieldDeportivo Armenio4 : 1
    14Gimnasia MendozaGimnasia y Tiro
    15Sarmiento JuninTristan Suarez1 : 0
    16Boca JuniorsChivilcoy2 : 0
    17River PlateCiudad Bolivar1 : 0
    18AldosiviSan Miguel3 : 0
    19Ind. RivadaviaCA Estudiantes2 : 0
    20TigreClaypole2 : 0
    21Talleres CordobaArgentino de Merlo2 : 0
    22Atl. TucumanSportivo Barracas2 : 1
    23Union de Santa FeAgropecuario2 : 0
    24IndependienteBiblioteca Atenas4 : 2
    25PlatenseArgentino MM1 : 0
    26San Martin S.J.Deportivo Madryn2 : 0
    27InstitutoAtletico Atlanta2 : 0
    28LanusSarmiento de La Banda4 : 1
    29Estudiantes L.P.Ituzaingo4 : 0
    30Rosario CentralSportivo Belgrano2 : 0
    31Barracas CentralTemperley3 : 2
    32HuracanOlimpo Bahia Blanca2 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1San LorenzoDep. Riestra
    2AcassusoGimnasia L.P.
    3BanfieldSan Martin T.
    4Deportivo MoronMidland
    5Racing ClubDefensa y Justicia
    6Gimnasia JujuyBelgrano
    7Velez SarsfieldTBD #14
    8Sarmiento JuninBoca Juniors
    9River PlateAldosivi
    10Ind. RivadaviaTigre
    11Talleres CordobaAtl. Tucuman
    12Union de Santa FeIndependiente
    13PlatenseSan Martin S.J.
    14InstitutoLanus
    15Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
    16Barracas CentralHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2