Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium |
 Bolivia | ESPN 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 World | Onefootball, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 71% | 29% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (491/567) | 61% (148/244) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (491/567) | 61% (148/244) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (40/60) | 35% (27/78) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (112/155) | 47% (36/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (12/42) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Delgado M. 🟨,
- 15', 0 - 1, Paredes L. ⚽, Lencioni F. (A),
- 32', Ascacibar S. 🟨,
- 40', Bareiro A. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Miguel Merentiel ⚽, Bareiro A. (A),
- 45+1', Petruchi L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Modica A. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
- 46', Franco J. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
- 52', Barboza N. 🟨,
- 53', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
- 53', Janson L. ↓, Paredes L. ↑,
- 53', Delgado M. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
- 63', Rodriguez S. ↓, Armoa B. ↑,
- 63', Antonini F. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,
- 63', Sanchez U. 🟨,
- 64', Lencioni F. 🟨,
- 75', Ascacibar S. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 77', Paredes L. ↓, Recalde M. ↑,
- 90+2', Bareiro A. ↓, Zufiaurre I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
63.2% | Draw
25.7% | Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
11.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-21.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.44) |
3.68 ↓
(3.88) |
8.39 ↓
(9.34) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Boca Juniors (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).
- Recent performances by Boca Juniors have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gimnasia Mendoza's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Gimenez M.
(Groin Injury)
Herrera A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Paredes L.
(Ankle Injury)
Velasco A.
(Knee Injury)
Zeballos E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Gimnasia Mendoza: Andrada B.
(Muscle Injury)
Barboza N.
(Injury)
O'Connor T.
(Knee Injury)
Romano N.
(Muscle Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza?
Boca Juniors has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza won against Boca Juniors?
Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza were as follows:
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:5 | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 16 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Platense | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 11 | Central Cordoba | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5:12 | -7 | 12 |
| 12 | Instituto | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:22 | -15 | 6 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | River Plate | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Tigre | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Huracan | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Gimnasia L.P | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Banfield | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 13 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
