Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | HBO Max, TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/367) | 82% (308/377) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (293/367) | 82% (308/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 52% (32/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (58/92) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 64% (16/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', Quintana C. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Battaglia R. ⚽, Aguirre B. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Di Maria A. ⚽,
- 33', Cavani E. 🟨,
- 33', Malcorra I. 🟨,
- 42', Veliz A. ↓, Copetti E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 65', Lopez S. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
- 66', Duarte G. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 72', Aguirre B. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
- 73', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 81', Di Maria A. ↓, Cantizano G. ↑,
- 84', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
- 88', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
- 89', Ibarra F. 🟨,
- 89', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rosario Central
36.6% | Draw
33.9% | Boca Juniors
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Rosario Central - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.5) |
2.77 ↓
(2.94) |
3.25 ↑
(3.1) |
5.2%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 0.
- Recent performances by Rosario have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Boca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J.
(Knee Injury)
Gutierrez K.
(Inactive)
Modica A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T.
(Muscle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Pellegrino M.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Zenon K.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosario Central won against Boca Juniors?
Rosario Central has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Rosario Central?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Boca Juniors were as follows:
28.02.2025
Boca Juniors
-
Rosario Central
1:0
31.08.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Rosario Central
2:1
23.04.2023
Rosario Central
-
Boca Juniors
2:2
Latest results of Rosario Central
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 21 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 21 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 |
| 5 | Argentinos Jrs | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Belgrano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Barracas Central | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Tigre | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Club | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 18 |
| 10 | Boca Juniors | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Lanus | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 25 |
| 5 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 19 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Sarmiento Junin | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 15 |
| 10 | Instituto | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Gimnasia L.P | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 |
| 13 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 11 |
| 14 | Godoy Cruz | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9:16 | -7 | 10 |
| 15 | Independiente | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
