Rosario Central vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Rosario Central - Boca Juniors
Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
80% (293/367)82% (308/377)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.32
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
158
Passes
80% (293/367)82% (308/377)
Long passes
50% (28/56)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)62% (51/82)
Crosses
25% (6/24)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.83
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
815
Tackles
44% (8/18)64% (16/25)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.321.79
Goals prevented
0.320.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Quintana C. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Battaglia R. , Aguirre B. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Di Maria A. ,
  • 33', Cavani E. 🟨,
  • 33', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 42', Veliz A. , Copetti E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Lopez S. , Campaz J. ,
  • 66', Duarte G. , Navarro F. ,
  • 72', Aguirre B. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 73', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 81', Di Maria A. , Cantizano G. ,
  • 84', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 88', Miguel Merentiel , Gimenez M. ,
  • 89', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 89', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
36.6%
Draw
33.9%
Boca Juniors
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 32% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 32.2% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Rosario Central - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.5)
    2.77
    (2.94)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    5.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 0.
    • Recent performances by Rosario have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Inactive) Modica A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrino M. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Zenon K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Rosario Central 1:0
    31.08.2024 Boca Juniors - Rosario Central 2:1
    23.04.2023 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 2:2
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)