Rosario Central vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 8
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.10
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
80% (293/367)82% (308/377)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.32
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
44
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
158
Passes
80% (293/367)82% (308/377)
Long passes
50% (28/56)52% (32/61)
Passes in final third
63% (58/92)62% (51/82)
Crosses
25% (6/24)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.83
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
815
Tackles
44% (8/18)64% (16/25)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
1823
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.321.79
Goals prevented
0.320.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 19', Quintana C. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Battaglia R. , Aguirre B. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Di Maria A. ,
  • 33', Cavani E. 🟨,
  • 33', Malcorra I. 🟨,
  • 42', Veliz A. , Copetti E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Lopez S. , Campaz J. ,
  • 66', Duarte G. , Navarro F. ,
  • 72', Aguirre B. , Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ,
  • 73', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 81', Di Maria A. , Cantizano G. ,
  • 84', Di Lollo L. 🟨,
  • 88', Miguel Merentiel , Gimenez M. ,
  • 89', Ibarra F. 🟨,
  • 89', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Rosario Central
36.6%
Draw
33.9%
Boca Juniors
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 32% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8% 32.2% 30.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Rosario Central - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.5)
    2.77
    (2.94)
    3.25
    (3.1)
    5.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Rosario Central - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 15.4%84.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Rosario (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Rosario (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 0.
    • Recent performances by Rosario have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Rosario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Rosario: Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Gutierrez K. (Inactive) Modica A. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Belmonte T. (Muscle Injury) Herrera A. (Muscle Injury) Pellegrino M. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Zenon K. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosario won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosario Central - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    28.02.2025 Boca Juniors - Rosario Central 1:0
    31.08.2024 Boca Juniors - Rosario Central 2:1
    23.04.2023 Rosario Central - Boca Juniors 2:2
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1694319:71231
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente ✔ 1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo ✔ 1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1637610:15-516
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 16104229:151434
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano ✔ 1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P. ✔ 1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi160886:19-138
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Independiente is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Lorenzo is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Belgrano is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gimnasia L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)