Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.681.02
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
118
Passes
86% (405/472)79% (293/372)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.681.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.68
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
135
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
118
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
101
Passes
86% (405/472)79% (293/372)
Long passes
60% (27/45)55% (36/66)
Passes in final third
75% (116/155)59% (41/69)
Crosses
20% (8/40)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.51
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
110
Tackles
70% (7/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
1847
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.681.39
Goals prevented
-0.320.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Rossipal A. ,
  • 27', Pauli J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Vermeij V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Watjen K. , Hofmann P. ,
  • 46', Alfa-Ruprecht F. , Miyoshi K. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Lenz C. ,
  • 66', Amoako K. , Casar A. ,
  • 66', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 73', Lemmer J. , Froling N. ,
  • 76', Onyeka F. (Pen),
  • 78', Lenz C. , Sissoko I. ,
  • 78', Onyeka F. , Kwarteng M. ,
  • 81', Rossipal A. 🟨,
  • 85', Passlack F. , Koscierski K. ,
  • 85', Pauli J. , Kammerknecht C. ,
  • 85', Rosler U. 🟨,
  • 85', Hauptmann N. , Kother D. ,
  • 89', Muller F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bochum
50.3%
Draw
24.5%
Dynamo Dresden
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 23.9% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 23% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Bochum - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.85)
    3.84
    (3.96)
    3.72
    (3.79)
    6.1%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Bochum - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Bochum (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Bochum (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Bochum will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.34%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bochum will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Bochum (votes: 13 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.
    • Bochum is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bochum will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bochum: Morgalla L. (Yellow Cards) Sissoko I. (Shoulder Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Hamstring Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Schreiber T. (Hand Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bochum: Bero M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Sapina V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    Latest results of Bochum
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    02.11.2025 Bochum - Magdeburg 2:0
    28.10.2025 Augsburg - Bochum 0:1
    25.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 1:1
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

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