Bochum vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.681.02
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
118
Passes
86% (405/472)79% (293/372)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
2.681.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.391.68
Total shots
2110
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
135
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
118
Touches in opposition box
2921
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
101
Passes
86% (405/472)79% (293/372)
Long passes
60% (27/45)55% (36/66)
Passes in final third
75% (116/155)59% (41/69)
Crosses
20% (8/40)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.51
Throw-ins
2416
Fouls
110
Tackles
70% (7/10)69% (9/13)
Duels won
4236
Clearances
1847
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.681.39
Goals prevented
-0.320.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 25', 0 - 1, Rossipal A. ,
  • 27', Pauli J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 0 - 2, Vermeij V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Watjen K. , Hofmann P. ,
  • 46', Alfa-Ruprecht F. , Miyoshi K. ,
  • 58', 1 - 2, Lenz C. ,
  • 66', Amoako K. , Casar A. ,
  • 66', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 73', Lemmer J. , Froling N. ,
  • 76', Onyeka F. (Pen),
  • 78', Lenz C. , Sissoko I. ,
  • 78', Onyeka F. , Kwarteng M. ,
  • 81', Rossipal A. 🟨,
  • 85', Passlack F. , Koscierski K. ,
  • 85', Pauli J. , Kammerknecht C. ,
  • 85', Rosler U. 🟨,
  • 85', Hauptmann N. , Kother D. ,
  • 89', Muller F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bochum
50.3%
Draw
24.5%
Dynamo Dresden
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 23.9% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 23% 24.1%

Bochum - Dynamo Dresden Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.88
(1.85)
3.84
(3.96)
3.72
(3.79)
6.1%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bochum - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: Bochum will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.34%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bochum will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 1.
    • Bochum is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Dynamo Dresden is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Bochum may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Bochum will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bochum: Morgalla L. (Yellow Cards) Sissoko I. (Shoulder Injury) Vogt K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Hamstring Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Schreiber T. (Hand Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bochum: Bero M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Sapina V. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
    Latest results of Bochum
    15.11.2025 Bochum - Osnabrück 1:4
    02.11.2025 Bochum - Magdeburg 2:0
    28.10.2025 Augsburg - Bochum 0:1
    25.10.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 1:1
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke17121422:101237
    2Elversberg17104331:151634
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1785430:22829
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Nurnberg1764719:23-422
    9Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    10Bochum1763823:22121
    11Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    12Preussen Munster1755722:26-420
    13Braunschweig1762920:29-920
    14Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    15Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga