St. Pauli vs Bochum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg).

Bundesliga - Round 34
Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 3
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 4, Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 9, SportKlub 10
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	1.46
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
85% (466/551)	78% (318/407)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79	1.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.13	2.45
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
3	0
Shots inside the Box
5	6
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
20	16
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
11	3
Passes
85% (466/551)	78% (318/407)
Long passes
26% (11/43)	43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
74% (117/159)	45% (39/86)
Crosses
38% (8/21)	43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.10	0.99
Throw-ins
13	16
Fouls
3	11
Tackles
67% (2/3)	62% (13/21)
Duels won
29	41
Clearances
12	28
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
2.45	0.13
Goals prevented
0.46	0.13

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Boadu M. ⚽,
33', Van Der Heyden S. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Afolayan O. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
57', Sissoko I. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
64', Sinani D. ↓, Eggestein J. ↑,
64', Saliakas M. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Boadu M. ⚽, Passlack F. (A),
76', Guilavogui M. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
76', Pannewig M. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
76', Boadu M. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
76', Masouras G. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
84', Medic J. ↓, Koscierski K. ↑,

Chances of winning

St. Pauli
56.5%

Draw
23.1%

Bochum
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.7%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

23.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

St. Pauli - Bochum Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)	4.19 ↑ (4.04)	4.73 ↑ (4.48)	3.9% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bochum?

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Bochum will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 50.8% – 88.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Pauli will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0.
St. Pauli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bochum's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
St. Pauli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Pauli is considered a favorite.
There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Saad E. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Bochum: Hofmann P. (Broken rib) Krauss T. (Injury) Ordets I. (Injury) Tolba M. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli won against Bochum?

St. Pauli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bochum won against St. Pauli?

Bochum has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bochum were as follows:

15.01.2025 Bochum - St. Pauli 1:0

Latest results of St. Pauli

11.05.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - St. Pauli 2:2 ✺

03.05.2025 St. Pauli - Stuttgart 0:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺

20.04.2025 St. Pauli - Bayer Leverkusen 1:1 ✺

12.04.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Bochum

10.05.2025 Bochum - Mainz 1:4 ✺

02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0 ✺

27.04.2025 Bochum - Union Berlin 1:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	7	7	0	0	27:4	23	21
2	RB Leipzig	7	5	1	1	10:9	1	16
3	Stuttgart	7	5	0	2	11:6	5	15
4	Dortmund	7	4	2	1	13:6	7	14
5	Bayer Leverkusen	7	4	2	1	16:11	5	14
6	FC Koln	7	3	2	2	12:10	2	11
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	7	3	1	3	19:18	1	10
8	Hoffenheim	7	3	1	3	12:12	0	10
9	Union Berlin	7	3	1	3	11:14	-3	10
10	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	11:11	0	9
11	Hamburger SV	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8
12	Werder Bremen	7	2	2	3	11:16	-5	8
13	Augsburg	7	2	1	4	12:14	-2	7
14	St. Pauli	7	2	1	4	8:12	-4	7
15	Wolfsburg	7	1	2	4	8:13	-5	5
16	Mainz	7	1	1	5	8:14	-6	4
17	Heidenheim	7	1	1	5	6:13	-7	4
18	B. Monchengladbach	7	0	3	4	6:15	-9	3

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga