St. Pauli vs Bochum – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga St. Pauli - Bochum
Result
0:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 10
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 8, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaRCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 4, Viaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 9, SportKlub 10
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 8
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.46
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
85% (466/551)78% (318/407)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.791.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.132.45
Total shots
109
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2016
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
113
Passes
85% (466/551)78% (318/407)
Long passes
26% (11/43)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
74% (117/159)45% (39/86)
Crosses
38% (8/21)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.99
Throw-ins
1316
Fouls
311
Tackles
67% (2/3)62% (13/21)
Duels won
2941
Clearances
1228
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
2.450.13
Goals prevented
0.460.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Boadu M. ,
  • 33', Van Der Heyden S. , Ritzka L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Afolayan O. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 57', Sissoko I. , Losilla A. ,
  • 64', Sinani D. , Eggestein J. ,
  • 64', Saliakas M. , Dzwigala A. ,
  • 66', 0 - 2, Boadu M. , Passlack F. (A),
  • 76', Guilavogui M. , Banks S. ,
  • 76', Pannewig M. , de Wit D. ,
  • 76', Boadu M. , Broschinski M. ,
  • 76', Masouras G. , Miyoshi K. ,
  • 84', Medic J. , Koscierski K. ,

Chances of winning


St. Pauli
56.5%
Draw
23.1%
Bochum
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.9% 23.7% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6% 23.4% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • St. Pauli - Bochum Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.75)
    4.19
    (4.04)
    4.73
    (4.48)
    3.9%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for St. Pauli - Bochum?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Bochum will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 50.8%88.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): St. Pauli will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Bochum is Relegated to 2. Bundesliga
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 0.
    • St. Pauli has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bochum's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • St. Pauli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, St. Pauli is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Burchert S. (Groin Injury) Irvine J. (Foot Injury) Mets K. (Knee Injury) Saad E. (Thigh Injury) Sands J. (Broken Leg) Zoller S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bochum: Hofmann P. (Broken rib) Krauss T. (Injury) Ordets I. (Injury) Tolba M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli - Bochum were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Bochum - St. Pauli 1:0
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    Latest results of Bochum
    10.05.2025 Bochum - Mainz 1:4
    02.05.2025 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    27.04.2025 Bochum - Union Berlin 1:1
    19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0
    12.04.2025 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga