Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 27
- Referee: Suleyman B. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | TOD |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/511) | 80% (243/305) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (442/511) | 80% (243/305) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (42/68) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (128/171) | 65% (36/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (10/37) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.86 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Karapo A. ⚽,
- 42', Benrahou Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Imeri O. 🟨,
- 67', Brazao P. 🟨,
- 68', Benrahou Y. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
- 74', Aslan A. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
- 74', Erdilman M. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
- 75', Vargas A. ↓, Adekanye B. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Hotic D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Toure B. 🟨,
- 89', Sertkaya Y. 🟨,
- 90+2', Talum Y. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Diony L. ⚽, Kahraman O. (A),
- 90+4', Imeri O. ↓, Yilmaz M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bodrumspor 55.2% | Draw 23.7% | Manisa FK 21.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-2%)
Bodrumspor - Manisa FK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.67 ↑ (1.64) |
3.93 ↑ (3.83) |
4.42 ↓ (4.51) |
8% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bodrumspor - Manisa FK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Manisa (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Bodrumspor will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bodrumspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Manisa (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 3.
- In recent matches, Bodrumspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Manisa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Manisa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Bodrumspor is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Arkutcu E.
(Injury)
Tarim I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Manisa: Gureler Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bodrumspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Manisa FK?
Bodrumspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Bodrumspor?
Manisa FK has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bodrumspor - Manisa FK were as follows:
28.09.2025
Manisa FK
-
Bodrumspor
0:4
02.04.2024
Manisa FK
-
Bodrumspor
0:1
05.11.2023
Bodrumspor
-
Manisa FK
2:0
08.03.2023
Manisa FK
-
Bodrumspor
2:1
18.09.2022
Bodrumspor
-
Manisa FK
1:1
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Latest results of Manisa FK
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to