Result
3:1
19/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Gunduz Y. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (327/395) | 75% (203/270) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (327/395) | 75% (203/270) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (21/45) | 40% (23/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (84/115) | 53% (47/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.73 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -2.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Tarim I. ⚽, Habesoglu A. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 49', 1 - 1, Jefferson ⚽, Mamah K. (A),
- 54', Ozcan M. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Bikoue ⚽,
- 58', Kara B. C. 🟨,
- 60', Erdilman M. 🟨,
- 63', Erdilman M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
- 63', Imeri O. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Jefferson ⚽, Hostikka S. (A),
- 68', Isciler B. ↓, Usta G. ↑,
- 70', Tarim I. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
- 75', Kara B. C. ↓, Secgin E. ↑,
- 76', Bikoue ↓, Demirol A. ↑,
- 77', Brazao P. 🟨,
- 79', Ozcan M. ↓, Bars E. ↑,
- 80', Jefferson ↓, Traore A. ↑,
- 82', Yilmaz M. ↓, Sertkaya Y. ↑,
- 82', Hotic D. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vanspor
38.4% | Draw
27.2% | Bodrumspor
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vanspor's performance.Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodrumspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vanspor than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vanspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodrumspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vanspor - Bodrumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.9) |
3.37 ↑
(3.33) |
2.67 ↑
(2.2) |
8.9%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Vanspor - Bodrumspor?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Vanspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vanspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Bodrumspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Bodrumspor (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Vanspor (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vanspor (votes: 2 - 50%). Bodrumspor (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent performances by Vanspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bodrumspor is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Vanspor: Caglayan O.
(Yellow Cards)
Cavusoglu M.
(Yellow Cards)
Destici S.
(Yellow Cards)
Xesc
(Hernia)
- There will not play in Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Arkutcu E.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vanspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vanspor won against Bodrumspor?
Vanspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Vanspor?
Bodrumspor has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vanspor - Bodrumspor were as follows:
24.09.2025
Bodrumspor
-
Vanspor
2:0
Latest results of Vanspor
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 44:38 | 6 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 43 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
