Bogdan Grad vs Luke Riley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Riley L. - 2nd Round KO
22/11/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV

Chances of winning


Bogdan Grad
29.3%
Luke Riley
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bogdan Grad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Luke Riley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Bogdan Grad - Luke Riley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.28
    (2.93)

    1.36
    (1.43)
    4.3%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Riley is a strong favorite.
    • The fighters have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Bogdan Grad
    21.06.2025 Muhammadjon Naimov - Bogdan Grad Naimov M. win
    01.02.2025 Bogdan Grad - Lucas Alexander Grad B. - 2nd Round TKO
    Latest results of Luke Riley
    15.03.2025 Luke Riley - Tariel Abbasov Riley L. - 2nd Round TKO
    21.09.2024 Luke Riley - Alexandre Junior Riley L. - 1st Round KO
    16.03.2024 Luke Riley - John de Jesus Riley L. win
    29.09.2023 Luke Riley - Alexander Lööf Riley L. - 3rd Round TKO
    21.07.2023 Luke Riley - Matheus Malta Riley L. win